LEGISLATIVE BUDGET BOARD
                                   Austin, Texas
         
                                   FISCAL NOTE
                               75th Regular Session
         
                                  March 28, 1997
         
         
      TO: Honorable Harvey Hilderbran, Chair            IN RE:  House Bill No. 942
          Committee on Human Services                              By: Hilderbran
          House
          Austin, Texas
         
         
         
         
         FROM:  John Keel, Director    
         
In response to your request for a Fiscal Note on HB942 ( Relating 
to AFDC and Medicaid benefits for additional children born to 
AFDC recipients.) this office has detemined the following:
         
         Biennial Net Impact to General Revenue Funds by HB942-As Introduced
         
Implementing the provisions of the bill would result in a net 
impact of $0 to General Revenue Related Funds through the biennium 
ending August 31, 1999.
         
The bill would make no appropriation but could provide the legal 
basis for an appropriation of funds to implement the provisions 
of the bill.

The bill would prohibit the Department of Human 
Services from providing financial assistance for support of 
a child born to a recipient of Temporary Assistance for Needy 
Families (TANF) at least 10 months after the date of qualification 
for assistance.
         
 
Fiscal Analysis
 
If an adult recipient of financial assistance becomes the parent 
of another child while the recipient is receiving assistance, 
the department must deduct the earned income disregards allowed 
under federal law, and increase the amount of earned income 
disregard for an employed recipient by 50 percent of the amount 
granted under Human Resources Code Section 31.003, adjusted 
for family size.  Even though ineligible for financial assistance 
under the provisions of the bill, the latter born child would 
still be eligible to receive child care, support services, and 
Medicaid.
 
Methodolgy
 
To estimate the fiscal impact of the provisions of the bill:
 
    1)  data were reviewed on the number of children born during 
fiscal year 1996 to mothers on AFDC and  who had been on AFDC 
at least 10 months prior to the birth of the child;
     2) 
 a monthly average number of births was calculated by dividing 
the total by 12;
     3)  estimated the number of births based 
on the projected AFDC caseload;
     4)  assumed a 93 percent 
monthly retention rate for AFDC/TANF cases and modeled cases 
over time;
     5)  calculated the average TANF grant reduction 
of $33.33 when the case is reduced by one child;
     6)  multiplied 
the projected case-months by the reduced cases to obtain expenditure 
savings;
     7)  calculated the clients per month by dividing 
the total dollars by dollars per client per month by 12 months 
per year.

It is anticipated that there will be minimal impact 
to staffing, thus no salary costs or FTEs are reflected in the 
fiscal impact.  It is assumed that Management Information Systems 
(MIS) will need to be altered to incorporate the policy changes. 
  Thus, costs are included for contracting for the necessary 
programming on existing computer systems.

The costs and savings 
are assumed to be from federal funds (Temporary Assistance for 
Needy Families block grant ) since the state is required to 
maintain its level of effort in general revenue spending.  Savings 
in cash benefits are lowered in the first year because the policy 
does not go into effect until July 1998 (10 months after the 
bill would go into effect).
The probable fiscal implications of implementing the provisions 
of the bill during each of the first five years following passage 
is estimated as follows:
 
Five Year Impact:
 
Fiscal Year Probable           Probable           
            Savings/(Cost)     Savings/(Cost)                                                             
            from Federal       from Federal                                                               
            Funds: TANF        Funds: TANF                                                                
            Block Grant        Block Grant                                                                
            0555               0555                                                                        
       1998        ($564,800)           $67,391                                                      
       1998                           1,695,839                                                      
       2000                           2,901,421                                                      
       2001                           3,395,872                                                      
       2002                           3,602,847                                                      
 
 
         Net Impact on General Revenue Related Funds:
 
The probable fiscal implication to General Revenue related funds 
during each of the first five years is estimated as follows:
 
              Fiscal Year      Probable Net Postive/(Negative)
                               General Revenue Related Funds
                                             Funds
               1998                   $0
               1999                    0
               2000                    0
               2001                    0
               2002                    0
 
Similar annual fiscal implications would continue as long as 
the provisions of the bill are in effect.
          
No fiscal implication to units of local government is anticipated.
          
   Source:            Agencies:   
                                         320   Texas Workforce Commission
                                         324   Department of Human Services
                                         501   Department of Health
                      LBB Staff:   JK ,BB ,AZ