LEGISLATIVE BUDGET BOARD
                              Austin, Texas
                                     
                    FISCAL NOTE, 76th Regular Session
  
                              April 9, 1999
  
  
          TO:  Honorable Rene Oliveira, Chair, House Committee on Ways &
               Means
  
        FROM:  John Keel, Director, Legislative Budget Board
  
       IN RE:  HB209 by Cuellar (relating to exempting the purchase of
               certain school supplies from the sales tax), Committee
               Report 1st House, Substituted
  
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*  Estimated Two-Year Net Impact to General Revenue Related Fundsfor     *
*  HB209, Committee Report 1st House, Substituted:  a negative impact    *
*  of $(10,380,000) through the biennium ending August 31, 2001, if      *
*  the effective date is July 1, 1999;  and a negative impact of         *
*  $(5,844,000) through the biennium ending August 31, 2001, if the      *
*  effective date is October 1, 1999.                                    *
*                                                                        *
*  The bill would make no appropriation but could provide the legal      *
*  basis for an appropriation of funds to implement the provisions of    *
*  the bill.                                                             *
**************************************************************************
  
The following fiscal implications assume an effective date of July 1,
1999.
  
All Funds, Five-Year Impact:
  
***************************************************************************
*Fiscal      Probable        Probable        Probable        Probable     *
* Year       Revenue         Revenue         Revenue         Revenue      *
*         Gain/(Loss) to  Gain/(Loss) to  Gain/(Loss) to  Gain/(Loss) to  *
*        General Revenue      Cities         Transit      Counties/SPDs   *
*              Fund                        Authorities                    *
*              0001                                                       *
*  1999        $(858,000)              $0              $0              $0 *
*  2000       (4,597,000)       (802,000)       (315,000)        (97,000) *
*  2001       (4,925,000)       (859,000)       (337,000)       (104,000) *
*  2002       (5,271,000)       (919,000)       (361,000)       (111,000) *
*  2003       (5,614,000)       (979,000)       (384,000)       (119,000) *
*  2004       (6,005,000)     (1,047,000)       (411,000)       (127,000) *
***************************************************************************
  
The following fiscal implications assume an effective date of October 1,
1999.
  
***************************************************************************
*Fiscal      Probable        Probable        Probable        Probable     *
* Year       Revenue         Revenue         Revenue         Revenue      *
*         Gain/(Loss) to  Gain/(Loss) to  Gain/(Loss) to  Gain/(Loss) to  *
*        General Revenue      Cities         Transit      Counties/SPDs   *
*              Fund                        Authorities                    *
*              0001                                                       *
*  2000        $(919,000)              $0              $0              $0 *
*  2001       (4,925,000)       (859,000)       (337,000)       (104,000) *
*  2002       (5,271,000)       (919,000)       (361,000)       (111,000) *
*  2003       (5,614,000)       (979,000)       (384,000)       (119,000) *
*  2004       (6,005,000)     (1,047,000)       (411,000)       (127,000) *
***************************************************************************
  
Fiscal Analysis
  
The bill would amend Chapter 151 of the Tax Code to exempt certain school
supplies from the sales tax.

Items would be exempt if they were required for classroom use by a
student in a public or private elementary or secondary school, on a list
issued by the teacher of the class or the school, having a value of less
than $25, and purchased during  the month of August.
  
  
Methodology
  
The fiscal implications of the bill were estimated using data on school
supplies obtained from the U.S. Census Bureau.  The amount of total
school supply sales in Texas was multiplied by the state sales tax rate,
adjusted to reflect sales in August, and extrapolated through fiscal
2004.  If the bill were to receive a two-thirds vote in each house, it
would take effect July 1, 1999; otherwise, it would take effect October
1, 1999.  The fiscal implications for units of local government were
estimated proportionally.
  
  
Local Government Impact
  
Local units of government would have a corresponding fiscal impact from
sales tax revenues, as indicated in the table above.
  
  
Source Agencies:   304   Comptroller of Public Accounts
LBB Staff:         JK, BB, SM