LEGISLATIVE BUDGET BOARD Austin, Texas FISCAL NOTE, 76th Regular Session April 6, 1999 TO: Honorable Elliott Naishtat, Chair, House Committee on Human Services FROM: John Keel, Director, Legislative Budget Board IN RE: HB3639 by Naishtat (Relating to eligibility for and the provision of services and programs for needy people and to the duty of parents to support their children to prevent reliance on programs for needy people; providing penalties.), As Introduced ************************************************************************** * Estimated Two-year Net Impact to General Revenue Related Funds for * * HB3639, As Introduced: negative impact of $(19,043,922) through * * the biennium ending August 31, 2001. * * * * The bill would make no appropriation but could provide the legal * * basis for an appropriation of funds to implement the provisions of * * the bill. * ************************************************************************** The bill would amend and add various sections to Chapter 31 of the Human Resources Code dealing with financial assistance or the state-federal Temporary Assistance for Needy Families (TANF) program. General Revenue-Related Funds, Five-Year Impact: **************************************************** * Fiscal Year Probable Net Positive/(Negative) * * Impact to General Revenue Related * * Funds * * 2000 $(4,446,291) * * 2001 (14,597,631) * * 2002 (20,052,593) * * 2003 (19,552,593) * * 2004 (20,052,593) * **************************************************** All Funds, Five-Year Impact: *********************************************************************** *Fiscal Probable Probable Probable Probable Change in * * Year (Cost) from Savings (Cost) from Savings Number of * * Federal from General from State * * Funds Federal Revenue General Employees * * (TANF) Fund (TANF) Fund: Revenue from FY 1999 * * 0555 0555 Medicaid Fund: * * Match Medicaid * * 0001 Match * * 0001 * * 2000 $5,112,194 $3,853,709 687.0 * * $(104,881, $(8,300,000) * * 417) * * 2001 7,260,361 4,957,332 607.0 * * (105,792, (19,554,963) * * 623) * * 2002 7,260,361 4,957,332 607.0 * * (109,505, (25,009,925) * * 723) * * 2003 7,260,361 4,957,332 607.0 * * (108,659, (24,509,925) * * 110) * * 2004 7,260,361 4,957,332 607.0 * * (107,551, (25,009,925) * * 546) * *********************************************************************** *************************************************************************** *Fiscal Probable (Cost) from Federal Probable Savings from Federal * * Year Funds: Medicaid Funds: Medicaid * * 0555 0555 * * 2000 $(13,000,000) $5,134,027 * * 2001 (30,598,788) 6,604,305 * * 2002 (39,097,575) 6,604,305 * * 2003 (38,297,575) 6,604,305 * * 2004 (37,497,575) 6,604,305 * *************************************************************************** Technology Impact The bill would require changes to the System for Verification, Eligibility, Referral and Resources (SAVERR) which is not Year 2000 compliant. The Department of Human Services estimates that it would require 16,150 programming hours at an estimated cost of $1.7 million to complete the adjustments necessary to implement the provisions of the bill. Fiscal Analysis The initial analysis of the fiscal implications of this bill have been developed as separate components. Further analysis is required related to the interactive effects of various provisions, differing responses relating to child support provisions and the impact on the Texas Medicaid program. In addition, the fiscal analysis was prepared without the benefit of input from the Texas Workforce Commission. Components of the bill with fiscal implications include: Costs 1. The two-step sanction process which allows persons to continue grant benefits if they have complied with personal responsibility agreement requirements. 2. Additional child care services. 3. Earned Income Disregard. Increases both TANF related expenditures and Medicaid benefits for the increased length of TANF eligibility. 4. Post-Employment Assessment. Estimates do not include costs at this time. It is anticipated that additional costs would occur due to the provisions of the bill. 5. Personal needs assessment and referral requirement are anticipated to add additional responsibilities and staff at DHS. 6. Housing assistance provisions are assumed to require additional TANF expenditures. 7. Child Support incentives and the distribution of child support payments. 8. Increased grant amounts. 9. Eligibility for financial assistance from the date of application. 10. Income and resource requirements applicable to the Medicaid program. It is possible that these provisions would have cost implications to the Department of Health but are not included in these estimates. Savings 1. Ineligibility for benefits due to certain drug-related convictions. 2. Work requirement exemptions provisions are anticipated to result in savings due to an increased number of people reaching their time-limited benefits period. (Savings for this component could be offset by expenditures to provide employment training for clients no longer exempted from time limits.) Methodology 1. Two-step sanction would result in increased expenditures of approximately $4 million per year. 2. Needs assessment would result in increased expenditures of approximately $20 million per year, and an increase in FTE positions (700 in fiscal year 2000, and 630 in each subsequent year). 3. Felony drug conviction would result in savings to the TANF Grant program and to the Medicaid program, and result in a reduction of about 20 FTE positions per year. 4. Child Care would result in increased expenditures of approximately $13 million per year. 5. The Earned Income Disregard would result in increased expenditures for the TANF Grant, totaling $10 million in fiscal year 2000, and $19 million in each subsequent year. Medicaid expenditures would also increase by $11 million in 2001, and $21 million in each subsequent year. 6. Housing Assistance would result in increased expenditures of $25 million in 2000, declining to $18 million in 2004. 7. Transportation would result in increased expenditures of $2 million per year. 8. Increased Supplemental Child Support Payments would result in a cost ranging from $2 million to $9 million per year. This note assumes the smaller cost. 9. Using the Federal Poverty Limit to determine TANF benefits would result in increased expenditures of approximately $17 million per year. This note assumes 17 percent of federal poverty. 10. Calculating benefits from the application date would result in increased TANF expenditures $9 million in 2000, declining to $6 million in 2004. 11. Changing the review process for Medicaid eligibility would result in increased Medicaid expenditures of $21 million in 2000, and $40 million in each subsequent year. Local Government Impact No significant fiscal implication to units of local government is anticipated. Source Agencies: LBB Staff: JK, TP, PP, AZ