LEGISLATIVE BUDGET BOARD Austin, Texas FISCAL NOTE, 77th Regular Session April 10, 2001 TO: Honorable Juan Hinojosa, Chair, House Committee on Criminal Jurisprudence FROM: John Keel, Director, Legislative Budget Board IN RE: HB31 by McClendon (Relating to the punishment for the offense of burglary of a vehicle.), As Introduced ************************************************************************** * Estimated Two-year Net Impact to General Revenue Related Funds for * * HB31, As Introduced: negative impact of $(13,980,071) through the * * biennium ending August 31, 2003. * * * * The bill would make no appropriation but could provide the legal * * basis for an appropriation of funds to implement the provisions of * * the bill. * ************************************************************************** General Revenue-Related Funds, Five-Year Impact: **************************************************** * Fiscal Year Probable Net Positive/(Negative) * * Impact to General Revenue Related * * Funds * * 2002 $(3,126,997) * * 2003 (10,853,074) * * 2004 (19,655,026) * * 2005 (27,582,877) * * 2006 (34,481,057) * **************************************************** All Funds, Five-Year Impact: ***************************************************** * Fiscal Year Probable Savings/(Cost) from * * General Revenue Fund * * 0001 * * 2002 $(3,126,997) * * 2003 (10,853,074) * * 2004 (19,655,026) * * 2005 (27,582,877) * * 2006 (34,481,057) * ***************************************************** Fiscal Analysis The bill would amend the Penal Code by enhancing the punishment for the offense of burglary of a vehicle from a Class A misdemeanor to a felony of the third degree. Additionally, the bill would make the offense of burglary of a vehicle punishable as a felony of the second degree if the defendant has prior convictions for the offense of burglary of a vehicle. The change in law made by this Act applies only to an offense committed on or after September 1, 2001. After 10 years of cumulative impact, the additional demand for prison beds from this bill would peak at 3,500, assuming that the number of offenders sentenced for this offense would not change in the future. At $40 per day, the annual cost of either operating facilities or contracting with other entities for 3,500 inmates is approximately $51 million. Methodology For fiscal year 2000 it is estimated that there were 1,640 misdemeanant probation placements for the offense of burglary of a vehicle. Based on direct court sentencing trends it is assumed that 337 of the of 1,640 placements would be sentenced directly to prison. It is also assumed that the remaining 1,303 placements would be placed under felony probation supervision. Offenders placed on felony probation will have a revocation to prison rate of 39.4% after 3 years of supervision. In order to estimate the future impact of the proposal, the changes proposed for admission and release policy are applied in a simulation model, to (1) prison admissions that reflect the distribution of offenses, sentence lengths, and time served, and (2) the increase in the number of people on parole supervision, due to the increased number of inmates released during the time period of the fiscal note who would require parole supervision. Included in the estimated costs are projected parole and community supervision operating costs. Costs of incarceration by the Department of Criminal Justice are estimated on the basis of $40 per inmate per day for prison facilities, reflecting approximate costs of either operating facilities or contracting with other entities. No costs are included for prison construction. Options available to address the increased demand for prison capacity that would result from implementation of this bill include construction of new prisons and contracting with counties or private entities. Local Government Impact No significant fiscal implication to units of local government is anticipated. Source Agencies: 410 Criminal Justice Policy Council LBB Staff: JK, JC, GG