LEGISLATIVE BUDGET BOARD Austin, Texas FISCAL NOTE, 77th Regular Session May 11, 2001 TO: Honorable Teel Bivins, Chair, Senate Committee on Education FROM: John Keel, Director, Legislative Budget Board IN RE: HB1144 by Grusendorf (Relating to public school accountability and to measures to improve proficiency in certain subjects.), As Engrossed ************************************************************************** * Estimated Two-year Net Impact to General Revenue Related Funds for * * HB1144, As Engrossed: negative impact of $(34,384,827) through * * the biennium ending August 31, 2003. * * * * The bill would make no appropriation but could provide the legal * * basis for an appropriation of funds to implement the provisions of * * the bill. * ************************************************************************** General Revenue-Related Funds, Five-Year Impact: **************************************************** * Fiscal Year Probable Net Positive/(Negative) * * Impact to General Revenue Related * * Funds * * 2002 $(17,433,445) * * 2003 (16,951,382) * * 2004 (7,900,849) * * 2005 (7,956,547) * * 2006 (10,411,542) * **************************************************** All Funds, Five-Year Impact: ************************************************************************** *Fiscal Probable Probable Change in Number of * * Year Savings/(Cost) from Savings/(Cost) from State Employees from * * General Revenue Fund Certification and FY 2001 * * 0001 Assessment Fees * * (General Revenue * * Fund) * * 0751 * * 2002 $(17,433,445) $0 8.5 * * 2003 (16,951,382) 0 8.5 * * 2004 (7,978,744) 77,895 4.5 * * 2005 (8,044,549) 88,002 6.5 * * 2006 (10,499,544) 88,002 6.5 * ************************************************************************** Technology Impact Section 1 of the bill would require coordination of databases between the Texas Education Agency (TEA) and the Higher Education Coordinating Board (THECB), which would likely necessitate contract efforts to match student-level data. Fiscal Analysis The bill has a number of requirements with fiscal implications: Section 1 would require the development of a coordinated student-level database for student performance information across primary, secondary and post-secondary school. Section 2: The State Board for Educator Certification (SBEC) would be required to establish a master mathematics teacher certificate and develop a related course of study. Section 3: The Texas Education Agency (TEA) would be required to establish the master mathematics teacher grant program, providing $5,000 stipends to qualified teachers, starting in the 2003-04 school year. Section 4: TEA would be required to develop professional development institutes for mathematics teachers and to develop training materials. Section 5: TEA would be required to award grants for the conduction of research on mathematics skills acquisition and program effectiveness. Section 6: TEA would be required to develop and make available to school districts assessment instruments that can be used to diagnose student mathematics skills. Section 7 would authorize districts to provide optional intensive after school or summer programs to provide mathematics instruction to students who are not performing at grade level or successfully. Section 8: TEA would be required to adopt or develop appropriate criterion-referenced assessment instruments designed to assess the ability of and be administered to students who are determined to have dyslexia or a related disorder. Section 8 would also permit but not require the commissioner of education to participate in multi-state end-of-course test development, and requires the development of an end-of-course test for Algebra I. Section 9 would direct the development of a voluntary rating system, although the existence of the system is mandatory. Methodology This estimate is based upon information provided by TEA and SBEC. Section 2: The master mathematics teacher certification exam is estimated to have a contracted cost $363,000 and require one additional employee with salary costs of $115,589 over a two-year period to oversee the development of the exam and the course of instruction. The number of teachers earning certificates for the 2004 grant cycle is assumed to be 435, which is based on the actual number of teachers earning master reading teacher certificates in 2001. The number of new teachers earning certificates for each year thereafter is assumed to increase by 491 for each year thereafter, until 2008 when the cumulative number of teachers eligible for a master mathematics teacher grant stabilizes at the TEA's estimate of 2,400. Section 3: The estimated cost of the master mathematics teacher grant program is based on $5,000 stipends for 435 teachers (actual master reading teacher total) for a total of $2,175,000 in fiscal year 2004. It is assumed that grant-receiving teachers will remain eligible for the stipend in future years. It is assumed that an additional 491 teachers will be certified to receive the stipend in fiscal year 2005 and each fiscal year thereafter, increasing the grant cost by $2,455,000 per year. It is assumed that the total number of certified teachers will stabilize at 2,400 in fiscal year 2008. Section 4: The professional development institutes are estimated to serve about 28,741 teachers of mathematics. It is assumed that half the teachers (14,370) would be trained in each of 2002 and 2003 at a cost of $600 each for stipends, and that each of the 360 training sessions would cost $10,000 to provide. Initial course material and development costs are estimated at $1,500,000, for a total cost of $13,735,275 for each of the first two years. These costs would decrease to $5,000,000 in 2004, and $3,000,000 in 2005 and 2006. Section 5: It is estimated that activities already budgeted in the provision of professional development institutes would satisfy the requirement to award grants to institutions for the development and identification of research on mathematics skill acquisition; thus there would be no cost. The grant awards for monitoring the effectiveness of the institutes are estimated to cost $500,000 in 2003 and 2004. The grant awards for identifying best practices in math instruction are estimated to cost $175,000 in 2002 and 2003. The grant awards for developing research on cognitive development concerning math skills are estimated to cost $300,000 in 2002 and $100,000 in 2003. Section 6: The cost of diagnostic instruments is an estimated contracted cost of $150,000 per grade per year, for an annual total of $1,800,000, and three additional FTE's for a two-year development period. These costs and the additional personnel would not be needed after fiscal year 2003. Section 9: It is estimated that one program administrator and one administrative technician, with annual support costs of $94,094, as well as a one-time $200,000 contract in 2003, would be needed to assist the advisory committee in developing the voluntary gold performance rating system from 2002 to 2004. Section 3(d) of the bill requires implementation of the system "beginning with 2006-2007 school year or an earlier school year." The agency estimates that a three-year development period (from 2002 to 2004) would be adequate, thus making the 2004-05 school year the appropriate year for implementation of the system. Upon implementation of the system in 2005, it is estimated that an additional two program administrators would be needed to administer the voluntary rating system, at an additional annual cost of $110,796. Local Government Impact No significant fiscal implication to units of local government is anticipated. School districts must pay stipends to qualified master mathematics teachers beginning in 2002-03, as well as report to TEA information on these teachers. These requirements should have minimal fiscal impact to school districts. Also, to the extent that test development draws funds from the compensatory education allotment of the Foundation School Program, there would be a small reduction of state aid to districts. Source Agencies: 701 Texas Education Agency LBB Staff: JK, CT, JM