LEGISLATIVE BUDGET BOARD Austin, Texas FISCAL NOTE, 77th Regular Session May 11, 2001 TO: Honorable Teel Bivins, Chair, Senate Committee on Education FROM: John Keel, Director, Legislative Budget Board IN RE: HB1144 by Grusendorf (Relating to public school accountability and to measures to improve proficiency in certain subjects.), Committee Report 2nd House, Substituted ************************************************************************** * Estimated Two-year Net Impact to General Revenue Related Funds for * * HB1144, Committee Report 2nd House, Substituted: negative impact * * of $(41,619,239) through the biennium ending August 31, 2003. * * * * The bill would make no appropriation but could provide the legal * * basis for an appropriation of funds to implement the provisions of * * the bill. * ************************************************************************** General Revenue-Related Funds, Five-Year Impact: **************************************************** * Fiscal Year Probable Net Positive/(Negative) * * Impact to General Revenue Related * * Funds * * 2002 $(18,565,651) * * 2003 (23,053,588) * * 2004 (19,003,055) * * 2005 (24,058,744) * * 2006 (31,513,744) * **************************************************** All Funds, Five-Year Impact: ************************************************************************** *Fiscal Probable Probable Change in Number of * * Year Savings/(Cost) from Savings/(Cost) from State Employees from * * General Revenue Fund Certification and FY 2001 * * 0001 Assessment Fees * * (General Revenue * * Fund) * * 0751 * * 2002 $(18,565,651) $0 21.0 * * 2003 (23,053,588) 0 21.0 * * 2004 (19,080,950) 77,895 17.0 * * 2005 (24,146,746) 88,002 19.0 * * 2006 (31,601,746) 88,002 19.0 * ************************************************************************** Technology Impact Section 1 of the bill would require coordination of databases between the Texas Education Agency (TEA) and the Higher Education Coordinating Board (THECB), which would likely necessitate contract efforts to match student-level data. Fiscal Analysis The bill has a number of requirements. Those with fiscal implications are noted in the methodology section: Section 1 would require the development of a coordinated student-level database for student performance information across primary, secondary and post-secondary school. Section 2: The State Board for Educator Certification (SBEC) would be required to establish a master mathematics teacher certificate and develop a related course of study. Section 3: The Texas Education Agency (TEA) would be required to establish the master mathematics teacher grant program, providing $5,000 stipends to qualified teachers, starting in the 2003-04 school year. Section 4: TEA would be required to develop professional development institutes for mathematics teachers and to develop training materials. Section 5: TEA would be required to award grants for the conduction of research on mathematics skills acquisition and program effectiveness. Section 5 also would require TEA to develop and make available, preferably via the Internet, a service that assists teachers in providing and grading mathematics homework assignments. Section 6: TEA would be required to develop and make available to school districts assessment instruments that can be used to diagnose student mathematics skills. Section 7 would authorize districts to provide optional intensive after school or summer programs to provide mathematics instruction to students who are not performing at grade level or are not performing successfully. Section 8: TEA would be required to adopt or develop appropriate criterion-referenced assessment instruments designed to assess the ability of and be administered to students who are determined to have dyslexia or a related disorder. Section 8 would also permit but not require the commissioner of education to participate in multi-state end-of-course test development, and requires the development of an end-of-course test for Algebra I. Section 9 would provide a definition of dropout rates under the Academic Excellence Indicators System (AEIS) to include dropout and completion rates for grades 9-12. Section 10 would require school district annual performance reports to include information received from post-secondary institutions concerning student performance in the first year following graduation. Section 11 would require the board of trustees of each school district to have the district's dropout record audited annually beginning in the 2001-2002 school year. TEA would be required to review the audits. Not later than February 1, 2002, TEA also be required to develop a training program for auditing dropout records and make the training program readily available to public accountants and CPAs throughout the state. Section 12 would direct the development of a voluntary rating system, although the existence of the system is mandatory. Section 13 would authorize the Commissioner of education to appoint a board of managers composed of residents to function as the board of trustees in a district that has had a master or management team for one year or longer. Section 14 would require TEA's biennial report to include a statement of the completion rates of students for grades 9-12. Methodology This estimate is based upon information provided by TEA and SBEC. Section 2: The master mathematics teacher certification exam is estimated to have a contracted cost $363,000 and require one additional employee with salary costs of $115,589 over a two-year period to oversee the development of the exam and the course of instruction. The number of teachers earning certificates for the 2004 grant cycle is assumed to be 435, which is based on the actual number of teachers earning master reading teacher certificates in 2001. The number of new teachers earning certificates for each year thereafter is assumed to increase by 491 for each year thereafter, until 2008 when the cumulative number of teachers eligible for a master mathematics teacher grant stabilizes at the TEA's estimate of 2,400. Section 3: The estimated cost of the master mathematics teacher grant program is based on $5,000 stipends for 435 teachers (actual master reading teacher total) for a total of $2,175,000 in fiscal year 2004. It is assumed that grant-receiving teachers will remain eligible for the stipend in future years. It is assumed that an additional 491 teachers will be certified to receive the stipend in fiscal year 2005 and each fiscal year thereafter, increasing the grant cost by $2,455,000 per year. It is assumed that the total number of certified teachers will stabilize at 2,400 in fiscal year 2008. Section 4: The professional development institutes are estimated to serve about 28,741 teachers of mathematics. It is assumed that half the teachers (14,370) would be trained in each of 2002 and 2003 at a cost of $600 each for stipends, and that each of the 360 training sessions would cost $10,000 to provide. Initial course material and development costs are estimated at $1,500,000, for a total cost of $13,735,275 for each of the first two years. These costs would decrease to $5,000,000 in 2004, and $3,000,000 in 2005 and 2006. Section 5: It is estimated that activities already budgeted in the provision of professional development institutes would satisfy the requirement to award grants to institutions for the development and identification of research on mathematics skill acquisition; thus there would be no cost. The grant awards for monitoring the effectiveness of the institutes are estimated to cost $500,000 in 2003 and 2004. The grant awards for identifying best practices in math instruction are estimated to cost $175,000 in 2002 and 2003. The grant awards for developing research on cognitive development concerning math skills are estimated to cost $300,000 in 2002 and $100,000 in 2003. Section 5 also would require TEA to develop and make available, preferably via the Internet, a service that assists teachers in providing and grading mathematics homework assignments. It is assumed that development costs during fiscal years 2002 and 2003 would total approximately $2,000,000. Section 6: The cost of diagnostic instruments is an estimated contracted cost of $150,000 per grade per year, for an annual total of $1,800,000, and three additional FTE's for a two-year development period. These costs and the additional personnel would not be needed after fiscal year 2003. Section 7: The bill would require the state to fund optional district after-school or summer intensive mathematics instruction programs. It is assumed that TEA would need .5 FTE to administer the grant application process. It is anticipated that this program will have a build-up of funding over four years as the diagnostic tools and training programs focus attention on mathematics performance. The grant funding would be assumed to increase from $5,000,000 in 2003 to $20 million in 2006. The funding at $20,000,000 would be sufficient to provide services to about 30,000 students for a thirty-day time period. Section 8: The provisions that would allow the commissioner of education to participate in multi-state end-of-course test development, and require an end-of-course Algebra I exam have no fiscal implications. Section 8 also would require the development of assessment instruments for students with dyslexia and related disorders. Because of the requirement for appropriate criterion-referenced assessment instruments, tests would need to be developed to assess the Texas Essential Knowledge and Skills statewide curriculum. The language requires tests in mathematics at grades 3 through 11, reading at grades 3 through 10, writing at grades 4 and 7, English language arts at grade 10, social studies at grades 8 and 10, and science at grades 5 and 10. Considering current contract costs for development and administration of the Texas Assessment of Academic Skills (TAAS) and the State-Developed Alternative Assessment (SDAA) for exempted special education students, a new assessment system for dyslexic students is estimated to cost the following contract amounts: FY02 $5 million; FY03 $5 million; FY04 $10 million; FY05 $10 million; FY06 $8 million. These figures are based on English-version tests only and multiple administrations of the certain tests required under TEC 28.0211 for the elimination of social promotion. The language does not require annual public release of these new tests; however, annual release is included in the estimates since all other tests will be released. If the tests for dyslexic students do not need to be released, the cost estimate could be reduced. Additionally, the estimate may be affected once it can be determined how many dyslexic students would be administered the new tests. In addition to the contract amounts above, costs for full-time equivalent employees or contracted personnel for the Student Assessment and Special Education divisions would be required. It is estimated that an additional 10 FTE's would be needed: 3 Manager IVs/B16; 1 Systems Analyst V/B16; 1 Systems Analyst IV/B14; 3 Program Administrator IVs/B12; and 2 Planner Is/B9. Associated administrative and travel budget for these positions would also be required. These positions would be required beginning in FY02 to begin the lengthy test development process. Because the provision is added to Texas Education Code 39.023, it is expected that the cost of these assessments can be funded from the Foundation School Program compensatory education allotment. There would therefore be no net cost to the state. Section 12: It is estimated that one program administrator and one administrative technician, with annual support costs of $94,094, as well as a one-time $200,000 contract in 2003, would be needed to assist the advisory committee in developing the voluntary gold performance rating system from 2002 to 2004. Section 3(d) of the bill requires implementation of the system "beginning with 2006-2007 school year or an earlier school year." The agency estimates that a three-year development period (from 2002 to 2004) would be adequate, thus making the 2004-05 school year the appropriate year for implementation of the system. Upon implementation of the system in 2005, it is estimated that an additional two program administrators would be needed to administer the voluntary rating system, at an additional annual cost of $110,796. Local Government Impact To the extent that test development draws funds from the compensatory education allotment of the Foundation School Program, there would be a reduction of state aid to districts. Source Agencies: 701 Texas Education Agency LBB Staff: JK, CT, PF, JM