LEGISLATIVE BUDGET BOARD Austin, Texas FISCAL NOTE, 77th Regular Session May 22, 2001 TO: Honorable James E. "Pete" Laney, Speaker of the House, House of Representatives FROM: John Keel, Director, Legislative Budget Board IN RE: HB1200 by Brimer (Relating to the enactment of the Texas Economic Development Act, authorizing certain ad valorem tax incentives for economic development, including authorizing school districts to provide tax relief for certain corporations and limited liability companies that make large investments that create jobs in this state, to authorizing the imposition of certain impact fees, and to continuing the Property Redevelopment and Tax Abatement Act.), As Passed 2nd House ************************************************************************** * Estimated Two-year Net Impact to General Revenue Related Funds for * * HB1200, As Passed 2nd House: impact of $0 through the biennium * * ending August 31, 2003. * ************************************************************************** The bill would create the Texas Economic Development Act and authorize certain property tax incentives, including a limitation on the appraised value of certain property and tax credits for certain taxes paid. Further, the bill would extend the expiration date of the Property Redevelopment and Tax Abatement Act from September 1, 2001 to September 1, 2007. The provisions of the bill concerning property value limitations and school tax credits would expire December 31, 2005. General Revenue-Related Funds, Five-Year Impact: **************************************************** * Fiscal Year Probable Net Positive/(Negative) * * Impact to General Revenue Related * * Funds * * 2002 $0 * * 2003 0 * * 2004 591,000 * * 2005 1,470,000 * * 2006 6,295,000 * **************************************************** All Funds, Five-Year Impact: *************************************************************************** *Fiscal Probable Revenue Gain/(Loss) to Probable Revenue Gain/(Loss) to * * Year General Revenue Fund School Districts * * 0001 * * 2002 $0 $0 * * 2003 0 0 * * 2004 591,000 0 * * 2005 1,470,000 0 * * 2006 6,295,000 (100,688,000) * *************************************************************************** Fiscal Analysis The state cost under the Foundation School Program (FSP) would increase by an estimated $117 million, less $13.7 million in revenue feedback effects, in fiscal 2007. Annual growth in values subject to the property tax reductions and school tax credits provided by the bill would increase state FSP payments by an estimated $504.8 million, less $51.6 million in revenue feedback effects, by fiscal 2011. School districts would experience similar fiscal implications through 2009. However, there would be no fiscal impact to school districts after 2009, net of state reimbursements, because of the December 31, 2005 sunset date and state reimbursements under the Foundation School Program. The minimum requirement for qualification would be an investment in new buildings and improvements and associated capital equipment between $20 million and $100 million depending on the taxable value of the host school district and the creation of at least 25 new jobs. However, the bill would also provide for a minimum investment of between $1 million and $30 million depending on the taxable value of industrial property in the host district for certain school districts located either in (1) a strategic investment area as defined by Section 171.721 of the Tax Code, or (2) in counties with a population of less than 50,000 that are not located in a metropolitan statistical area, and in which the population remained the same, decreased, or increased not more than 3 percent per annum between the 1990 and 2000 census. In such areas, the bill would require the creation of at least 10 jobs. Methodology The Comptroller's estimated fiscal impact on school districts is the sum of the revenue losses from the property value limitation provision and the proposed school tax credits. The revenue loss from the property value limitation was computed for each year as the product of the appraised value of qualifying investments (limited to the manufacturing, research and development, and renewable energy electric generation industries) exceeding the threshold, as defined in the bill, and the estimated average maintenance and operations school tax rate in that year. The amount of appraised value exceeding the threshold was computed by multiplying the estimated total Texas annual investment by the share of qualified investments projected to exceed the investment threshold. The resulting amount was adjusted by the percentage of investment by corporations and for differences in capital investment and appraised values. Total Texas annual capital investment was estimated using data on new capital investments by Texas mining, manufacturing, and utility industries provided by the U. S. Bureau of the Census. For other industries, new investment was estimated using data from the Census Bureau's annual U. S. capital expenditures survey. The data were apportioned to Texas using Texas' share of gross state product for each industry. The future growth rate of capital investment was provided by Wharton Econometric Forecasting Associates. The share of total Texas investment exceeding the investment threshold was estimated from data provided by the Texas Department of Economic Development on business expansions in Texas during the last half of the 1990s. The fiscal impact of the proposed school tax credits was estimated using the same methodology, except the credit amounts were spread over a seven-year period beginning in the fourth year after an investment would be made. Under the current school finance system, it is assumed that the state would reimburse school districts for their losses for the property value limitation after a one-year lag; the state would reimburse school districts for their losses associated with the tax credits in the same year. Once the static fiscal impact was estimated, the dynamic fiscal impact was calculated using a Texas-specific general equilibrium model to distribute among the state's economic sectors the savings that otherwise would have been paid in taxes by businesses. The revenue feedback calculation was based on the historical relationship between state tax revenues and associated economic factors. Local Government Impact The impact on local school districts is reflected in the above tables. The fiscal impact to cities and counties from imposing impact fees would depend on the number of projects and the cost to cities and counties of providing improvements, and is therefore not reflected in the above tables. Source Agencies: 304 Comptroller of Public Accounts LBB Staff: JK, SD, WP, BR