LEGISLATIVE BUDGET BOARD Austin, Texas FISCAL NOTE, 77th Regular Session April 17, 2001 TO: Honorable Steven Wolens, Chair, House Committee on State Affairs FROM: John Keel, Director, Legislative Budget Board IN RE: HB1675 by Burnam (Relating to the establishment of a minimum wage for public employees.), As Introduced ************************************************************************** * Estimated Two-year Net Impact to General Revenue Related Funds for * * HB1675, As Introduced: negative impact of $(61,600,000) through * * the biennium ending August 31, 2003. * * * * The bill would make no appropriation but could provide the legal * * basis for an appropriation of funds to implement the provisions of * * the bill. * ************************************************************************** General Revenue-Related Funds, Five-Year Impact: **************************************************** * Fiscal Year Probable Net Positive/(Negative) * * Impact to General Revenue Related * * Funds * * 2002 $(26,750,000) * * 2003 (34,850,000) * * 2004 (45,500,000) * * 2005 (57,000,000) * * 2006 (71,600,000) * **************************************************** All Funds, Five-Year Impact: *************************************************************************** *Fiscal Probable Probable Probable Probable * * Year Savings/(Cost) Savings/(Cost) Savings/(Cost) Savings/(Cost) * * from General from General from Federal from Other * * Revenue Fund Revenue Funds - Federal Special State * * 0001 Dedicated 0555 Funds * * Accounts (ERS 0998 * * and CPA only) * * 0994 * * 2002 $(26,750,000) $(2,900,000) $(14,650,000) $(3,050,000) * * 2003 (34,850,000) (3,900,000) (17,750,000) (4,100,000) * * 2004 (45,500,000) (5,300,000) (21,500,000) (5,600,000) * * 2005 (57,000,000) (6,800,000) (25,500,000) (7,200,000) * * 2006 (71,600,000) (8,750,000) (30,250,000) (9,200,000) * *************************************************************************** Fiscal Analysis The bill would increase the minimum governmental salary to the federal poverty level for a family of 4. In 2001 this is $17,650, but is increased each year by the increase in the Consumer Price Index (CPI). Using CPI projections from the Comptroller's Fall 2000 Economic Forecast gives projected salary levels of $18,100, $18,550, $19,050, $19,550, and $20,100 in fiscal years 2002 through 2006 respectively. Methodology Using the February 2000 Job Class download which lists number of full time state employees by group and step in schedule A, and salary rates from the 2000-01 biennium, the cost would be $19.6 million in 2002, increasing to $59.5 million in 2006. There would be additional costs for part time and non classified employees, though these are relatively small. The increased salary costs would require increased appropriation amounts. The impact on higher education would be higher proportionately, as they have a much greater incidence of positions with relatively low salaries. The impact is estimated by taking the cost for state employees and multiplying by the ratio of higher education payroll over state agency payroll and multiplying by 1.5 to reflect the greater incidence of low salaried positions. These costs would require increased appropriation amounts. There would be additional costs to the Department of Mental Health and Mental Retardation (MHMR) community centers, estimated at $17.8 million in 2002 to $30.5 million in 2006. These centers are staffed with employees who would be considered local government employees, and appropriation amounts would need to be increased accordingly. The General Appropriations Bill as introduced and the House Appropriations Committee Substitute of the General Appropriations Bill contain no increases for state employee salaries, and this is reflected in the amounts listed above and in the tables above. The Senate Finance Committee Substitute of the General Appropriations Bill includes a pay increase for state employees and higher education non faculty employees which would increase salaries of affected positions by $1,200 a year. This greatly lessens the impact of the bill. The resulting impact on state agency employees alone would be $6.2 million in 2002, $10.0 million in 2003, and increase to $33.2 million by 2006. The effect of this increase on higher education would be similar, as would the effect on MHMR community centers. Local Government Impact In total, local governments had more than 3 times as many Full Time Equivalent employees as the state in 1997; 850,000 compared to 260,000. Therefore local government costs would be estimated to be more than 3 times higher than the state and higher education costs listed above. Harris county, and the City of Grand Prairie estimated that House Bill 1675 would have a significant impact on their annual budget. Harris county (population 3.2 million) indicated a budgetary increase of $1,000,000 for 2001, and Grand Prairie (population 119,000) estimated an increase of $100,000 for 2001. These costs are estimated to increase by the same rate as state costs, by 50% in 2002, 100% in 2003, 175% in 2004, 250% in 2005, and 350% in 2006. Source Agencies: 332 Texas Department of Housing and Community Affairs, 327 Employees Retirement System, 304 Comptroller of Public Accounts LBB Staff: JK, RB, WM, DW