LEGISLATIVE BUDGET BOARD Austin, Texas FISCAL NOTE, 77th Regular Session April 10, 2001 TO: Honorable Irma Rangel, Chair, House Committee on Higher Education FROM: John Keel, Director, Legislative Budget Board IN RE: HB2547 by Dutton (Relating to an exemption from or refund of tuition and fees for certain lower-division students enrolled at Texas Southern University and Prairie View A&M University.), As Introduced ************************************************************************** * Estimated Two-year Net Impact to General Revenue Related Funds for * * HB2547, As Introduced: negative impact of $(7,226,119) through * * the biennium ending August 31, 2003. * * * * The bill would make no appropriation but could provide the legal * * basis for an appropriation of funds to implement the provisions of * * the bill. * ************************************************************************** General Revenue-Related Funds, Five-Year Impact: **************************************************** * Fiscal Year Probable Net Positive/(Negative) * * Impact to General Revenue Related * * Funds * * 2002 $(2,773,674) * * 2003 (4,452,445) * * 2004 (4,674,275) * * 2005 (4,820,049) * * 2006 (4,820,049) * **************************************************** All Funds, Five-Year Impact: *************************************************************************** *Fiscal Probable Savings/(Cost) from Probable Revenue Gain/(Loss) * * Year General Revenue Fund from Estimated Other * * 0001 Educational and General Income * * Account/ GR-Dedicated * * 0770 * * 2002 $(2,773,674) $(2,773,674) * * 2003 (4,452,445) (4,452,445) * * 2004 (4,674,275) (4,674,275) * * 2005 (4,820,049) (4,820,049) * * 2006 (4,820,049) (4,820,049) * *************************************************************************** Fiscal Analysis The bill provides an exemption from or refund of tuition and fees for lower division students enrolled at Prairie View A&M (PVAMU) or Texas Southern University (TSU). In order to be eligible, the student must have graduated from a private high school, home school, or public high school in Texas; be a Texas resident; and earn a minimum grade point average (GPA) of 2.0 in the first semester. This exemption or refund may extend into the first two academic years, if the student maintains that 2.0 GPA. The student must pass an examination before enrolling in the third academic year. The university is not required to provide tuition and fee refunds or exemptions beyond those funded through state appropriations and may do so using local funds or funds appropriated to the university. This bill applies to tuition and fees beginning in Fall 2001 and expires in fiscal year 2021. Methodology Based on analysis prepared by the Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board (THECB), the number of eligible students for the first semester of 2002 at PVAMU and TSU is estimated to be 831 and 688, respectively. It is assumed that all students who are retained from one semester to the next would also have a minimum GPA of 2.0. The actual retention rates for each institution were applied to calculate the number of eligible student in future semesters. In addition, tuition is estimated to be $1,120 per student and is increased by 5% each year. The estimated loss of appropriated tuition revenue is $2,773,674 in fiscal year 2002 and $4,452,445 in fiscal year 2003. It is assumed that general revenue would be provided for the loss of tuition revenue. The institutions would also realize a reduction in non-appropriated tuition revenue. However, these amounts would not impact State appropriations. If the tuition refunds and exemptions attract new students to the institution who would not have otherwise attended a public institution, the State would realize additional general revenue formula costs beginning in fiscal year 2004. Local Government Impact No fiscal implication to units of local government is anticipated. Source Agencies: 717 Texas Southern University, 715 Prairie View A&M University, 781 Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board LBB Staff: JK, CT, DB