LEGISLATIVE BUDGET BOARD Austin, Texas FISCAL NOTE, 77th Regular Session March 28, 2001 TO: Honorable Rene Oliveira, Chair, House Committee on Ways & Means FROM: John Keel, Director, Legislative Budget Board IN RE: HB3106 by Alexander (Relating to the rates of state motor fuel taxes and the allocation of the taxes.), As Introduced ************************************************************************** * Estimated Two-year Net Impact to General Revenue Related Funds for * * HB3106, As Introduced: positive impact of $251,187,000 through * * the biennium ending August 31, 2003. * ************************************************************************** General Revenue-Related Funds, Five-Year Impact: **************************************************** * Fiscal Year Probable Net Positive/(Negative) * * Impact to General Revenue Related * * Funds * * 2002 $127,128,000 * * 2003 124,059,000 * * 2004 108,583,000 * * 2005 100,776,000 * * 2006 94,096,000 * **************************************************** All Funds, Five-Year Impact: *************************************************************************** *Fiscal Probable Probable Probable Probable * * Year Revenue Revenue Revenue Revenue * * Gain/(Loss) Gain/(Loss) Gain/(Loss) Gain/(Loss) * * from Dedicated from from Available from State * * General Revenue Non-Dedicated School Fund Highway Fund * * Fund General Revenue 0002 0006 * * 0001 Fund * * 0001 * * 2002 $6,075,000 $(9,102,000) $130,155,000 $372,672,000 * * 2003 6,712,000 (13,824,000) 131,171,000 375,628,000 * * 2004 6,940,000 (33,970,000) 135,613,000 387,956,000 * * 2005 7,172,000 (46,536,000) 140,140,000 400,725,000 * * 2006 7,426,000 (58,433,000) 145,103,000 414,844,000 * *************************************************************************** *************************************************************************** *Fiscal Probable Revenue Gain/(Loss) Probable Revenue Gain/(Loss) * * Year from New Other Teacher Health from New Other County Road * * Insurance Purposes * * 2002 $108,511,000 $17,700,000 * * 2003 183,122,000 17,700,000 * * 2004 189,346,000 17,700,000 * * 2005 195,675,000 17,700,000 * * 2006 202,609,000 17,700,000 * *************************************************************************** Fiscal Analysis The bill amends Chapter 153 of the Tax Code to raise the tax rate on motor fuels by $0.05 per gallon. The bill also increases the special use liquefied gas tax decal rate for transit company vehicles and the weight and mileage-based taxes imposed on vehicles propelled by liquefied gas. The current tax rate for gasoline and diesel fuel is $0.20 per gallon. The bill would raise the tax rate to $0.25. The current tax rate for liquefied gas is $0.15 per gallon. The bill would raise the rate to $0.20. The bill allocates 25 percent of the net revenue derived from the proposed tax increase for the sole purpose of funding group health benefits for active employees of school districts. The bill allocates $17.7 million per year in the gasoline tax revenues that are currently allocated to the State Highway Fund 006 for the maintenance of farm-to-market roads to counties to use for specified road and bridge expenditures. The bill takes effect September 1, 2001. The provision which allocates revenue for teacher health benefits would take effect January 1, 2002, but only if the constitutional amendment proposed by the 77th Legislature, Regular Session, 2001, which dedicates any increases in the rate of a motor fuel tax to fund group health benefits for active employees of school districts, were approved by the voters. If the constitutional amendment were not approved, the dedication would not take effect. Methodology The current tax rate for gasoline and diesel fuel is $0.20 per gallon. This bill would raise the tax rate to $0.25. The current tax rate for liquefied gas is $0.15 per gallon. This bill would raise the rate to $0.20. Estimates of the increase in tax revenues were obtained by adjusting the Comptroller's 2002-2003 Biennial Revenue Estimate to reflect the increased tax rate. The resulting figures for 2002 and 2003 were adjusted for collection lags and changes in consumer behavior due to increased prices. Allowances also were made for the other changes in allocations specified in the bill. Once the static fiscal impact was estimated, the dynamic fiscal impact was calculated using a Texas-specific general equilibrium model to distribute the amount that otherwise would have been saved or spent on other items by businesses and consumers among the state's economic sectors. The revenue feedback calculation was based on the historical relationship between state tax revenues and associated economic factors. Note: This estimate assumes voter passage of a constitutional amendment dedicating the revenue from any increases in the motor fuel tax rate to fund group health insurance for active employees of local school districts. Local Government Impact An additional $17,700,000 each year would distributed among the counties of the state for county use in purchasing rights-of-way for state highways, improving county bridges, purchasing materials from the Texas Department of Transportation, or for contributing funds to state highway improvements. Source Agencies: 304 Comptroller of Public Accounts LBB Staff: JK, SD, CT