LEGISLATIVE BUDGET BOARD
                              Austin, Texas
                                     
                    FISCAL NOTE, 77th Regular Session
  
                              April 24, 2001
  
  
          TO:  Honorable Patricia Gray, Chair, House Committee on Public
               Health
  
        FROM:  John Keel, Director, Legislative Budget Board
  
       IN RE:  SB812  by Carona (Relating to establishing a
               demonstration project to expand access to women's health
               care services.), As Engrossed
  
**************************************************************************
*  Estimated Two-year Net Impact to General Revenue Related Funds for    *
*  SB812, As Engrossed:  positive impact of $1,715,741 through the       *
*  biennium ending August 31, 2003.                                      *
*                                                                        *
*  The bill would make no appropriation but could provide the legal      *
*  basis for an appropriation of funds to implement the provisions of    *
*  the bill.                                                             *
**************************************************************************
  
General Revenue-Related Funds, Five-Year Impact:
  
          ****************************************************
          *  Fiscal Year  Probable Net Positive/(Negative)   *
          *               Impact to General Revenue Related  *
          *                             Funds                *
          *       2002                           $(924,000)  *
          *       2003                            2,639,741  *
          *       2004                           24,909,020  *
          *       2005                           47,849,329  *
          *       2006                           56,647,963  *
          ****************************************************
  
All Funds, Five-Year Impact:
  
***********************************************************************
*Fiscal    Probable    Probable    Probable    Probable   Change in    *
* Year     Savings/    Savings/    Savings/    Savings/   Number of    *
*        (Cost) from (Cost) from (Cost) from (Cost) from    State      *
*          GR Match    GR Match    Federal     Federal    Employees    *
*            for         for       Funds -     Funds -   from FY 2001  *
*          Medicaid    Medicaid    Federal     Federal                 *
*            0758        0758        0555        0555                  *
*  2002    $(924,000)          $0  $(924,000)          $0         0.0  *
*  2003   (3,001,350)   5,641,091               8,489,899        12.0  *
*                                (25,333,143)                          *
*  2004   (6,837,233)  31,746,253              47,758,513        15.0  *
*                                (59,436,334)                          *
*  2005   (6,827,276)  54,676,605              82,254,537         3.0  *
*                                (61,025,731)                          *
*  2006   (8,359,585)  65,007,548              97,796,228         1.0  *
*                                (75,096,344)                          *
***********************************************************************
  
Technology Impact
  
Automation for the Department of Human Services (DHS) to create a new
type program is assumed at 16,800 hours at $110, resulting in a cost of
$1,848,000.  Expenses would be shared equally by the state and the
federal government.
  
  
Fiscal Analysis
  
The bill would increase the income eligibility cap for medical assistance
(Medicaid) to 185 percent of the federal poverty level for preventative
health and family planning services for women.  It is assumed
implementation would require waiver approval by the federal government.
Automation changes would occur in FY 2002, with waiver clients being
served beginning in FY 2003.
  
  
Methodology
  
1.  It is assumed the average monthly number of recipients served by the
Department of Health's (TDH) Medicaid program would increase by 170,328
in FY 2003, 401,888 in FY 2004, 414,108 in FY 2005, and 509,908 in FY
2006 for new waiver clients. The average monthly cost per client is
assumed to be $163.60.  The federal share is assumed to be 90% in all
years.

2.  TDH assumes births would be averted due to clients receiving waiver
services.  The number of births averted would total 1,378 in FY 2003,
7,753 in FY 2004, 13,353 in FY 2005, and 15,876 in FY 2006.  The annual
savings assumed per averted birth totals $10,254.71, resulting in an
annual savings totaling $14,130,990 in FY 2003, $79,504,767 in FY 2004,
$136,931,142 in FY 2005, and $162,803,776 in FY 2006. The federal share
is assumed to be 60.08% in FY 2003, and 60.07% in subsequent years.

3.  It is assumed additional eligibility workers at DHS will be required,
totaling 12 in FY 2003, 15 in FY 2003, and declining in subsequent
years.  The annual cost per worker (salary, operating expenses and
benefits) is assumed to total $34,979.
  
  
Local Government Impact
  
No significant fiscal implication to units of local government is
anticipated.
  
  
Source Agencies:   324   Texas Department of Human Services, 501   Texas
                   Department of Health
LBB Staff:         JK, HD, PP