LEGISLATIVE BUDGET BOARD
Austin, Texas
 
ACTUARIAL IMPACT STATEMENT
 
78TH LEGISLATIVE REGULAR SESSION
 
April 6, 2003

TO:
Honorable Allan Ritter, Chair, House Committee on Pensions & Investments
 
FROM:
John Keel, Director, Legislative Budget Board
 
IN RE:
HB3026 by Martinez Fischer (Relating to contributions to, and benefits payable by, the Judicial Retirement System of Texas Plan One and the Judicial Retirement System of Texas Plan Two.), As Introduced



JUDICIAL RETIREMENT SYSTEM - PLAN ONE: Benefit Payments ($millions)

Current

Proposed

Difference

FY 2004
FY 2005
FY 2006
FY 2007
FY 2008

$23.9
25.2
26.6
27.7
28.9

$24.0
25.4
26.9
28.0
29.3

+ $0.1
+ 0.2
+ 0.3
+ 0.3
+ 0.4

JUDICIAL RETIREMENT SYSTEM - PLAN TWO

Current

Proposed

Difference

State Contribution

Employee Contribution

Total Contribution

16.83 %

6.00 %

22.83 %

16.83 %

6.00 %

22.83 %

0

0

0

Normal Cost (% of payroll)

22.88 %

23.76 %

+ 0.88%

Net Asset Balance (millions)

$11.2

$7.1

-$4.1

Amortization Period (years)

0.0

0.0

0.0

A Glossary of Actuarial Terms is provided at the end of this impact statement.

ACTUARIAL EFFECTS:

HB3026 will increase annual state appropriations to the Judicial Retirement System Plan One (JRS I). The appropriation is estimated to increase by $100,000, $200,000, $300,000, $300,000 and $400,000 per year respectively, under the proposal for fiscal years 2004 through 2008. Information is not provided for fiscal years beyond 2008. The impact the proposal may be expected to have on the JRS I normal cost and accrued liability is not contained in the analysis. The analysis does not express an opinion on the actuarial status of JRS I since it is not advance funded.

In the case of JRS II, the proposal will increase normal cost 0.88% of payroll, from 22.88% to 23.76%, increase the actuarial accrued liability $4.1 million, and reduce the net asset balance $4.1 million. State contributions should be expected to increase starting in 2008 under the current structure, and starting in 2005 under the proposed structure, to 17.77% of pay. Otherwise, the amortization period will exceed 31 years.

SYNOPSIS OF PROVISIONS

HB3026 would provide the following changes for JRS I and JRS II:

FINDINGS AND CONCLUSIONS

HB3026 allows members of JRSI/II to continue making contributions after 20 years of service in return for an increase in their service retirement benefit. For JRS II, this will increase the actuarial accrued liability and the normal cost. Currently, the actuarial value of assets for JRS II currently exceeds the actuarial accrued liability and the contribution rate was less than the normal cost as of the August 31, 2002 actuarial valuation. Since the asset losses of the last three years are only recognized at a rate of 20% per year, the State contribution rate will need to increase from the current rate of 16.83% of payroll, even without the benefit improvements provided by HB3026 by fiscal year 2008. The improvements in this bill are projected to eliminate the net asset balance by fiscal year 2005, requiring an earlier increase in the State's contribution.

The JRS II actuary certifies that the changes specified by HB3026 would allow JRS II to remain actuarially sound and to comply with the requirements of Texas Government Code Section 840.106 only if the State contribution rate is increased to at least 17.77% of payroll for fiscal year 2005.

The actuarial valuation for JRS II will be updated as of February 28, 2003. The update may change the results shown above.

HB3026 provisions are also expected to increase future JRS I benefit payments, which are paid directly by the State, and to increase future JRS I member contributions, which are paid to the general revenue fund of the State. Because the JRS I is not advance funded, this analysis does not offer an actuarial opinion on the effect of this proposed legislation.

METHODOLOGY AND STANDARDS

In consideration of HB3026, the JRS I/II actuary changed the actuarial assumptions to assume that all members will continue to contribute after 20 years of service to receive the benefit increase, because the benefit increase is significantly greater in value than the additional member contributions.

The analysis relies on the participant data, financial information, benefit structure and actuarial assumptions and methods used in the August 31, 2002 actuarial valuations of JRS I and JRS II. According to the PRB actuary, the actuarial assumptions and methods appear to be reasonable. All actuarial projections have a degree of uncertainty because they are based on the probability of occurrence of future contingent events. Accordingly, actual results will be different from the results contained in the analysis to the extent actual future experience varies from the experience implied by the assumptions. Finally, the analysis assumes no further changes are made to JRS II and cautions that the combined effect of several changes can exceed the effect of each change considered individually.

SOURCES:

Actuarial Analysis by Steven R. Rusher, Actuary, Towers Perrin, April 3, 2003

Actuarial Review by Mr. Richard E. White, Actuary, Milliman USA, Inc., April 4, 2003

GLOSSARY OF ACTUARIAL TERMS:

Normal Cost-- the current cost as a percentage of payroll that is necessary to pre-fund pension benefits adequately during the course of an employee's career.

Unfunded Liability-- the amount of total liabilities that are not covered by the total assets of a retirement system. Both liabilities and assets are measured on an actuarial basis using certain assumptions including average annual salary increases, the investment return of the retirement fund, and the demographics of retirement system members.

Amortization Period-- the number of years required to pay-off the unfunded liability. Public retirement systems have found that amortization periods ranging from 20 to 40 years are acceptable. State law prohibits changes in TRS, ERS, or JRS II benefits or state contribution rates if the result is an amortization period exceeding 30.9 years.



Source Agencies:
338 Pension Review Board
LBB Staff:
JK, WM