TO: | Honorable Jane Nelson, Chair, Senate Committee on Health & Human Services |
FROM: | John S. O'Brien, Deputy Director, Legislative Budget Board |
IN RE: | SB98 by Shapleigh (Relating to determining and reporting the health insurance status of children attending public schools. ), Committee Report 1st House, As Amended |
Fiscal Year | Probable Net Positive/(Negative) Impact to General Revenue Related Funds |
---|---|
2006 | ($4,762,257) |
2007 | ($5,605,905) |
2008 | ($6,536,022) |
2009 | ($7,558,943) |
2010 | ($8,104,350) |
Fiscal Year | Probable (Cost) from GENERAL REVENUE FUND 1 |
Probable (Cost) from FEDERAL FUNDS 555 |
---|---|---|
2006 | ($4,762,257) | ($7,648,997) |
2007 | ($5,605,905) | ($9,050,247) |
2008 | ($6,536,022) | ($10,639,789) |
2009 | ($7,558,943) | ($12,378,191) |
2010 | ($8,104,350) | ($13,386,736) |
It is assumed that the impact to the Medicaid program would be in the Federal Mandate Children risk group, which covers children ages 6 to 18 (school age children). There may be some impact to the Expansion Children risk group from four and five year-olds entering kindergarten, or younger siblings of children enrolling in school; however, it is assumed this impact would be negligible. It is assumed that a step-up in enrollment would occur during the enrollment period for the 2005-06 school year (July to September 2005). An increase of 0.33% in the month-to-month total enrollment trend is assumed for each of these months. Because the increase begins in July 2005, there would likely be some small impact to enrollment in fiscal year 2005. The assumed impact to the Medicaid program is an increase in average monthly enrollment of 8,607 in fiscal year 2006 rising to 10,949 in fiscal year 2010. Average monthly cost for Federal Mandate Children is estimated to be $110.49 in fiscal year 2006 rising to $138.22 in fiscal year 2010. Annual cost is estimated to be $11.4 million in All Funds, including $4.5 million in General Revenue Funds, in fiscal year 2006 rising to $18.2 million in All Funds, including $7.2 million in General Revenue Funds, in fiscal year 2010.
It is assumed that new enrollment in CHIP would be impacted. It is assumed that increases in enrollment would be delayed in CHIP as compared to Medicaid due to the 90-day waiting period. Therefore the impact is assumed to occur in October to December, rather than July to September. An increase of 2% in monthly new enrollment is assumed for each of these months. The assumed impact to CHIP is an increase in average monthly enrollment of 742 in fiscal year 2006 rising to 2,474 in fiscal year 2010. Average monthly cost for CHIP is estimated to be $112.20. Annual cost is estimated to be $1.0 million in All Funds, including $0.3 million in General Revenue Funds, in fiscal year 2006 rising to $3.3 million in All Funds, including $0.9 million in General Revenue Funds, in fiscal year 2010.
Combined cost, for increases in both programs, is estimated to be $12.4 million in All Funds, including $4.8 million in General Revenue Funds, in fiscal year 2006 rising to $21.5 million in All Funds, including $8.1 million in General Revenue Funds, in fiscal year 2010.
Source Agencies: | 529 Health and Human Services Commission, 701 Central Education Agency
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LBB Staff: | JOB, KF, LR, MB, KC, CL, UP
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