LEGISLATIVE BUDGET BOARD
Austin, Texas
 
ACTUARIAL IMPACT STATEMENT
 
79TH LEGISLATIVE REGULAR SESSION
 
May 28, 2005

TO:
Honorable David Dewhurst , Lieutenant Governor, Senate
Honorable Tom Craddick, Speaker of the House, House of Representatives
 
FROM:
John S. O'Brien, Deputy Director, Legislative Budget Board
 
IN RE:
SB1176 by Armbrister (Relating to systems and programs administered by the Employees Retirement System of Texas. ), Conference Committee Report


Projected for Fiscal Year 2006

EMPLOYEES' RETIREMENT SYSTEM

Current

Proposed

Difference

State Contribution

Employee Contribution

Total Contribution

6.0 %

6.0 %

12.0 %

6.0 %

6.0 %

12.0 %

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

31-year Funding Contribution Required

7.044%

6.821%

-0.223%

Normal Cost (% of payroll)

12.450 %

12.320 %

-0.130%

Unfunded Actuarial Accrued Liability (millions)

$506.0

$419.0

-$87.0

Funded Ratio

97.6%

98.0%

+0.4%

Amortization Period (years) as of 8/31/04

actuarial valuation

Infinite

Infinite

 

 

 

Projected for Fiscal Year 2006

LAW ENFORCEMENT CUSTODIAL

OFFICERS' SUPPLEMENTAL RETIREMENT FUND

Current

Proposed

Difference

 

State Contribution

Employee Contribution

Total Contribution

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Normal Cost (% of payroll)

1.621 %

1.621 %

0.00%

Net Asset Balance (millions)

$49.5

$49.5

$0.0

Funded Ratio

107.6%

107.6%

0.0%

Period (years) as of 8/31/04 actuarial valuation

that net asset funds normal cost

2.6

2.7

+0.1

 

JUDICIAL RETIREMENT SYSTEM – PLAN ONE

The current and proposed estimated appropriations for future benefit payments for JRS I are shown for each of the next five fiscal years, recognizing the projected effect of the proposed legislation.

Benefit payments (Millions)

Fiscal Year

Current

Proposed

Legislation Difference

2006

$23.23

$23.62

+$0.39

2007

23.73

24.13

+$0.40

2008

24.20

24.61

+$0.41

2009

24.55

24.97

+$0.42

2010

24.78

25.20

+$0.42

 

JUDICIAL RETIREMENT SYSTEM - PLAN

TWO

Current

Proposed

Difference

 

State Contribution

Employee Contribution

Total Contribution

16.83 %

5.99 %

22.82 %

16.83 %

5.99 %

22.82 %

0

0.00 %

0.00 %

Normal Cost (% of payroll)

19.58 %

19.58 %

0.0%

Net Asset Balance (millions) 8/31/2004

$21.6

$21.4

- $0.2

Amortization Period (years),

0.0

0.0

0.0

A Glossary of Actuarial Terms is provided at the end of this impact statement.

 

 

 

 

 

ACTUARIAL EFFECTS:

 

Employees' Retirement System (ERS): The bill will decrease, by 0.130% of payroll, the projected normal cost of ERS for fiscal year 2006. The fiscal year 2006 estimated ERS Unfunded Actuarial Accrued Liability (UAAL) will decrease approximately $87.0 million, from $506.0 million to $419.0 million. The current contribution rate is insufficient to provide for normal cost plus amortize the unfunded actuarial accrued liability over 31 years. Under current law, the state contribution rate would need to increase from 6.0% of payroll to 7.044% of payroll for fiscal year 2006 to achieve a 31-year funding for ERS. Under the proposal, the state contribution rate necessary to achieve a 31-year funding for ERS would decrease to 6.821% of payroll for fiscal year 2006.

 

The May 19, 2005 actuarial analysis letter for the bill discusses several proposed changes for plan provisions that are recognized as actuarial gains or losses when the events occur, because there are no current actuarial assumptions to recognize these events in the actuarial valuation. Therefore, while these proposed changes would be expected to increase these actuarial gains or to decrease these actuarial losses in the future years, they would not have an immediate impact. The repeal of Texas Government Code Section 814.1042 would be such a change. The ERS actuary estimates that this repeal would increase actuarial gains or decrease actuarial losses for ERS by approximately $2-$5 million annually.

 

Law Enforcement and Custodial Officers' Supplemental Retirement Fund (LECOSRF): The bill will not change the projected normal cost for the LECOSRF for fiscal year 2006. The fiscal year 2006 estimated net asset balance will remain $49.5 million under the proposal. The current contribution rate is sufficient to provide for normal cost plus amortize the unfunded actuarial accrued liability over 31-years through fiscal year 2007.

 

Judicial Retirement System Plan One (JRS I): JRS I is financed by a combination of member contributions (currently 6% of a judicial officer’s state compensation ceasing in general after 20 years of service), plus state contributions. The annual state contribution is the amount necessary to pay benefits when due. Under the proposal, the annual state contributions will increase by $390,000, $400,000, $410,000, $420,000, and $420,000 for fiscal years 2006, 2007, 2008, 2009 and 2010 respectively. Information is not provided for fiscal years beyond 2010. The impact the proposal may be expected to have on the JRS I normal cost and accrued liability is not contained in the analysis.

 

Judicial Retirement System Plan Two (JRS II): The bill will have no effect on the projected normal cost of JRS II for fiscal year 2006 and 2007. The proposal will decrease the projected fiscal year 2006 net asset balance by $200,000. Under the proposal, the current contribution rate is sufficient to fund the normal cost and amortize the unfunded actuarial accrued liability over 31 years through the next biennium.

 

SYNOPSIS OF PROVISIONS:

 

The bill, to be effective September 1, 2005, would provide the following changes:

 

FINDINGS AND CONCLUSIONS:

 

The bill would extend the 90-day waiting period for membership in ERS and LECOSRF for state employees and officers hired or rehired beyond August 31, 2005. The waiting period will decrease the covered payroll for future years and decrease the actuarial accrued liability; however, it will also decrease the value of assets in the future because fewer contributions are received. The waiting period extension will also cause future ERS and LECOSRF normal cost rates to increase slightly because the entry age of future members will be higher. The higher normal cost rates will be applied to a lower covered payroll, thus resulting in a lower dollar amount of normal cost in the future. The net liability balance is amortized as a level percentage of future payroll and the amortization amount as a percentage of payroll will be higher because the amount will be amortized against a lower future payroll.

 

The bill also provides for actuarially reduced disability annuities, which will decrease the normal cost and the net liability balance. Many of the proposed changes in the bill are for plan provisions that are recognized as actuarial gains or losses when the events occur, but they would not have an immediate impact. The ERS actuary estimates the overall increase in actuarial gains or decrease in actuarial loses for ERS to be approximately $5 million to $20 million annually in total. Changing the rate of interest to re-establish service credit is considered the most significant in the analysis, at approximately $5 million to $10 million annually. Other changes in the bill are expected to increase the actuarial gains or decrease the actuarial loses by lesser amounts. The analysis estimates that the net actuarial loses will be reduced or the net actuarial gains will be increased for ERS by $5 million for fiscal year 2006 and by $15 million per year thereafter.

 

The bill would provide that the annuities for certain JRS II and JRS I annuitants who commenced benefits before January 1, 2002 would be recalculated. The bill provides that the annuity increase of 10% of applicable salary that applies to members who served as a visiting judge within one year before benefit commencement will also apply to those JRS II and JRS I annuitants who commenced benefits before that provision was added by the 2001 Legislature. The increased annuity would begin with the first payment due on or after September 1, 2005.

 

The proposal will decrease, by 0.130% of payroll, the projected normal cost of ERS for fiscal year 2006. The estimated ERS Unfunded Actuarial Accrued Liability for fiscal year 2006 will decrease approximately $87.0 million, from $506.0 million to $419.0 million. The provisions will not change the normal cost as a percentage of payroll of LECOSRF in fiscal year 2006 and the projected net asset balance of LECOSRF in fiscal year 2006 will remain $49.5 million.

 

The current contribution rate for ERS is insufficient to provide for normal cost plus amortize the unfunded actuarial accrued liability over 31 years. Under current law, the state contribution rate would need to increase from 6.0% of payroll to 7.044% of payroll in fiscal year 2006 to achieve a 31-year funding for ERS. Under the proposal, the necessary state contribution for 31-year funding would decrease to 6.821%. LECOSRF will remain actuarially sound at the current state contribution rate through fiscal year 2007. According to the ERS/LECOSRF actuary, it is anticipated that at some point in fiscal year 2008 that the actuarial accrued liability will exceed the actuarial value of assets for LECOSRF. A state contribution of 1.621% of payroll will be required when the net asset balance is depleted.

 

The changes in the service purchase option and the lump sum payment in lieu of an annuity are not anticipated to have a material impact on the ERS or LECOSRF because the revised benefits are assumed to actuarially equivalent to the current benefits.

 

The bill will have no effect on the projected normal cost of JRS II for fiscal year 2006 and 2007. The proposal will decrease the projected fiscal year 2006 net asset balance by $200,000. Under the proposal, the current contribution rate is sufficient to fund the normal cost and amortize the unfunded actuarial accrued liability over 31 years through the next biennium.

 

JRS I is financed by a combination of member contributions (currently 6% of a judicial officer’s state compensation ceasing in general after 20 years of service), plus state contributions. The annual state contribution is the amount necessary to pay benefits when due. Under the proposal, the annual state contributions will increase by $390,000, $400,000, $410,000, $420,000, and $420,000 for fiscal years 2006, 2007, 2008, 2009 and 2010 respectively. Information is not provided for fiscal years beyond 2010. The impact the proposal may be expected to have on the JRS I normal cost and accrued liability is not contained in the analysis.

 

METHODOLOGY AND STANDARDS:

 

The ERS/LECOSRF actuary assumed that for the provisions of actuarially reduced disability annuities, that the reductions will be based on actuarial factors that are similar to the actuarial basis for other ERS actuarial factors, such as optional benefit forms and the credit purchase option (1994 Group Annuity Mortality, 50% male/50% female, and 8% interest).

 

The analysis assumes no further changes are made to JRS II, ERS, and LECOSRF and cautions that the combined economic impact of several proposals can exceed the effect of each proposal considered individually. Except as otherwise noted, the analysis relies on the participant data, financial information, benefit structure and actuarial assumptions and methods used in the February 28, 2005 update of the August 31, 2004 actuarial valuation of JRS II, ERS, and LECOSRF. According to the PRB actuary, the actuarial assumptions, methods and procedures appear to be reasonable. All actuarial projections have a degree of uncertainty because they are based on the probability of occurrence of future contingent events. Accordingly, actual results will be different from the results contained in the analysis to the extent actual future experience varies from the experience implied by the assumptions.

 

SOURCES:

 

Actuarial Analysis by Steven R. Rusher, Actuary, Towers Perrin, March 18, 2005 and May 19, 2005

 

GLOSSARY OF ACTUARIAL TERMS:

 

Normal Cost-- the current annual cost as a percentage of payrolls that is necessary to pre-fund pension benefits adequately during the course of an employee's career.

 

Net Asset / Net Liability--This is the difference between the Actuarial Value of Assets and the Actuarial Accrued Liability. A Net Asset (also called the "Overfunded Actuarial Liability) exists only when the Actuarial Value of Assets exceeds the Actuarial Accrued Liability, and is the amount of this excess. This only occurs when a plan is overfunded. A Net Liability (also called the Unfunded Actuarial Liability) exists only when the Actuarial Accrued Liability exceeds the Actuarial Value of Assets. This only occurs when a plan is underfunded.

 

Amortization Period-- the number of years required to pay-off the unfunded liability. Public retirement systems have found that amortization periods ranging from 20 to 40 years are acceptable. State law prohibits changes in TRS, ERS, or JRS-2 benefits or state contribution rates if the result is an amortization period exceeding 30.9 years.



Source Agencies:
338 Pension Review Board
LBB Staff:
JOB, WM