TO: | Honorable Rob Eissler, Chair, House Committee on Public Education |
FROM: | John S. O'Brien, Director, Legislative Budget Board |
IN RE: | HB1601 by Madden (Relating to the expulsion of a public school student for certain offenses committed on or off school property.), As Introduced |
Fiscal Year | Probable Net Positive/(Negative) Impact to General Revenue Related Funds |
---|---|
2008 | ($3,403,130) |
2009 | ($4,672,929) |
2010 | ($4,672,929) |
2011 | ($4,672,929) |
2012 | ($4,672,929) |
Fiscal Year | Probable Savings/(Cost) from FOUNDATION SCHOOL FUND 193 |
---|---|
2008 | ($3,403,130) |
2009 | ($4,672,929) |
2010 | ($4,672,929) |
2011 | ($4,672,929) |
2012 | ($4,672,929) |
The expansion of offenses requiring mandatory expulsion would increase the number of mandatory placements in juvenile justice alternative education programs (JJAEPs). The state reimburses JJAEPs at a rate of $59 per student per day for mandatory placements. Based on data regarding arrests of juveniles for relevant offenses, prosecution and conviction rates, and other factors, the Juvenile Probation Commission estimates that the provisions of the bill would result in 3,096 additional students served in JJAEPs in FY 2008 for an increase in student attendance days of 175,536 and 4,513 additional students served in JJAEPs in FY 2009 for an increase in student attendance days of 238,742. Assuming 85 percent attendance, at the state reimbursement rate of $59 per student attendance days, additional state reimbursement for JJAEPs would be estimated at $8.8 million in FY2008 and $12.0 million in FY2009. It is assumed that costs beyond FY2009 would be similar.
Additional appropriations needed for JJAEP reimbursements would be paid through reductions to districts' Tier 1 compensatory education allotments. However, due to the changes in school finance made by House Bill 1, 79th Legislature, 3rd Called, a reduction in a district's Tier 1 state aid would result in an increase of hold harmless state aid in order to reach a total revenue target. Therefore, increases in appropriations for set-aside programs result in increased state cost. However, since school districts are not allowed to count students who are placed in JJAEPs under mandatory expulsion criteria in average daily attendance (ADA) for state funding purposes, the state costs noted above would be offset in part by a reduction in the amount of state aid generated by school districts. If it is assumed that the days counted in the calculation of average daily attendance for Foundation School Program purposes would decline by the same amount as the estimated increase in days of attendance in JJAEPs, costs for state aid under the Foundation School Program would be reduced by an estimated $5.4 million in FY2008 and $7.3 million in FY2009.
The resulting net increase in state cost would be approximatley $3.4 million in FY2008 and $4.7 million in FY2009 and subsequent years. In the event Education Code, 42.2516 were changed to restore set-aside funding to its pre-House Bill 1 (79-3) functionality, the bill would have no net state fiscal impact.
Source Agencies: | 665 Juvenile Probation Commission, 701 Central Education Agency
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LBB Staff: | JOB, JSp, UP, JSc
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