TO: | Honorable Patrick M. Rose, Chair, House Committee on Human Services |
FROM: | John S. O'Brien, Director, Legislative Budget Board |
IN RE: | HB2852 by Davis, John (Relating to a transitional health plan program for certain children previously enrolled in the Medicaid or the state child health plan program.), As Introduced |
Fiscal Year | Probable Net Positive/(Negative) Impact to General Revenue Related Funds |
---|---|
2008 | ($1,546,699) |
2009 | ($1,398,626) |
2010 | ($1,448,312) |
2011 | ($1,466,075) |
2012 | ($1,489,835) |
Fiscal Year | Probable (Cost) from GENERAL REVENUE FUND 1 |
Probable (Cost) from PREMIUM CO-PAYMENTS 3643 |
Probable Revenue Gain from PREMIUM CO-PAYMENTS 3643 |
Change in Number of State Employees from FY 2007 |
---|---|---|---|---|
2008 | ($1,546,699) | ($7,650,053) | $7,650,053 | 3.0 |
2009 | ($1,398,626) | ($15,596,472) | $15,596,472 | 6.0 |
2010 | ($1,448,312) | ($15,904,518) | $15,904,518 | 7.0 |
2011 | ($1,466,075) | ($16,219,863) | $16,219,863 | 7.0 |
2012 | ($1,489,835) | ($16,541,049) | $16,541,049 | 7.0 |
Implementation date is assumed to be March 1, 2008. HHSC assumes 40 percent of clients not renewing CHIP coverage in the highest income bracket and 5 percent of clients not renewing Medicaid with incomes exceeding CHIP levels would enroll in the program. Estimated caseload is 5,240 average monthly recipient months in fiscal year 2008; 10,683 in fiscal year 2009; 10,894 in fiscal year 2010; 11,110 in fiscal year 2011; and 11,330 in fiscal year 2012. At an average cost of $121.66 per recipient month, estimated client services cost is $7.7 million in fiscal year 2008, $15.6 million in fiscal year 2009, $15.9 million in fiscal year 2010, $16.2 million in fiscal year 2011, and $16.5 million in fiscal year 2012. It is assumed that all client services costs will be financed with Premium Copayments, resulting in an equal gain to revenue; regardless of caseload, client services would be cost neutral.
Administrative costs are estimated to be $1.5 million in fiscal year 2008, $1.4 million in fiscal years 2009 and 2010, and $1.5 million in fiscal years 2011 and 2012. These costs include $0.9 million in fiscal year 2008 for one-time system modifications; remaining administrative costs are for enrollment broker services, premium collection fees, and eligibility determination staff (3.0 FTEs in fiscal year 2008, 6.0 FTEs in fiscal year 2009, and 7.0 FTEs in fiscal year 2010 and beyond). It is assumed that administrative costs will be financed with General Revenue Funds. Enrollment broker services, premium collection fees, and eligibility determination costs are caseload driven; lower caseloads would result in lower administrative costs, higher caseloads would result in higher administrative costs.
Source Agencies: | 529 Health and Human Services Commission
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LBB Staff: | JOB, CL, PP, LR
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