TO: | Honorable Dan Branch, Chair, House Committee on Higher Education |
FROM: | John S. O'Brien, Director, Legislative Budget Board |
IN RE: | HB215 by Guillen (Relating to limitations on increases in fees and designated tuition charged by public institutions of higher education.), As Introduced |
Fiscal Year | Probable Net Positive/(Negative) Impact to General Revenue Related Funds |
---|---|
2010 | $0 |
2011 | $0 |
2012 | $0 |
2013 | $0 |
2014 | $0 |
Fiscal Year | Probable Revenue (Loss) from Designated Tuition 997 |
---|---|
2010 | ($95,109,160) |
2011 | ($198,352,457) |
2012 | ($299,052,764) |
2013 | ($409,101,641) |
2014 | ($529,297,438) |
Based on tuition information reported to them by institutions, the Higher Education Coordinating Board determined that designated tuition rates at general academic teaching institutions have increased, on average, by 14% per year for the past 3 years (average of 11.10%, 13.30, and 17.86). However, the Higher Education Coordinating Board believes the rate of increase will slow to about 8.45% (60% of the current rate of increase). The Higher Education Coordinating Board applied the 8.45% increase to the fiscal year 2009 estimated tuition rates and derived estimates for fiscal year 2009-14. During that time, the Higher Education Coordinating Board estimated that designated tuition at general academic teaching institutions would increase from $2,885 in fiscal year 2009 to $4,328 in fiscal year 2014. A similar calculation was done for tuition rates at health-related institutions. The Board than calculated the number of students that would be impacted. In fall 2007 the full-time student equivalent (FTSE) number of all students was 405,505, which included 330,675 undergraduates and 74,830 graduates, enrolled in public universities and health related institutions. For purposes of this fiscal note it is assumed that the FTSE would remain constant.
For the tuition rate changes under the bill, the Higher Education Coordinating Board used the fiscal year 2009 tuition rate ($2,885) and limited the increase to the consumer price index (currently 1%) for the applicable years. The amount of designated tuition at the level rates and the CPI rate was subtracted from the anticipated amount of designated tuition without regulation to determine the designated tuition losses. Based on these calculations the decrease in designated tuition revenue would be $95.1 million in fiscal year 2010 and $198.3 million in fiscal year 2011. The revenue losses would continue to increase in the out years.
Source Agencies: | 758 Texas State University System, 768 Texas Tech University System Administration, 769 University of North Texas System Administration, 781 Higher Education Coordinating Board, 783 University of Houston System Administration
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LBB Staff: | JOB, KK, RT, GO
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