TO: | Honorable Rob Eissler, Chair, House Committee on Public Education |
FROM: | John S. O'Brien, Director, Legislative Budget Board |
IN RE: | HB1273 by Kolkhorst (Relating to reporting of and an adjustment under the school finance system for benefits received by school districts or associated foundations or other entities in connection with agreements under the Texas Economic Development Act.), As Introduced |
Fiscal Year | Probable Net Positive/(Negative) Impact to General Revenue Related Funds |
---|---|
2010 | $24,000,000 |
2011 | $51,100,000 |
2012 | $78,900,000 |
2013 | $83,200,000 |
2014 | $82,800,000 |
Fiscal Year | Probable Savings/(Cost) from Foundation School Fund 193 |
Probable Revenue Gain/(Loss) from School Districts |
---|---|---|
2010 | $24,000,000 | ($24,000,000) |
2011 | $51,100,000 | ($51,100,000) |
2012 | $78,900,000 | ($78,900,000) |
2013 | $83,200,000 | ($83,200,000) |
2014 | $82,800,000 | ($82,800,000) |
School district behavior in response to the provisions of the bill is uncertain. In order to provide an estimate for the purposes of the fiscal note, the office of the Comptroller of Public Accounts (CPA)analyzed existing Texas Economic Development Act (Chapter 313, Tax Code) program data to estimate probable annual school district levy loss due to the limitation and tax credit provisions of Chapter 313 for all existing agreements. The size and character of Chapter 313 projects starting in tax years 2010 and 2011 are assumed to be similar to those for tax year 2009.
Using data collected for existing projects and two years of projected data, the CPA estimated annual school district levy losses for fiscal years 2010 through 2014. Based on an analysis of existing agreements, the CPA then estimated an average portion of the levy loss that companies would pay the school districts for protection of future school district revenues, and amounts they would provide to districts as other payments in lieu of taxes. These amounts are assumed to approximate the adjustments the commissioner would make to those districts' state aid or recapture payments.
Based on this analysis and under these assumptions, it is estimated that state costs could be reduced in FY2010 by approximately $24 million, increasing to $51.1 million in FY2011 and increasing again to $78.9 million in FY2012, with savings remaining at a similar level for the following two years. The table above is provided for illustrative purposes only. The fiscal impact of the bill's provisions would depend on how school districts and companies alter their behavior, if at all, within the framework of limitation agreements between these parties under Chapter 313 of the Tax Code. Due to the uncertainty associated with the above-described behavioral changes, the fiscal impact cannot be determined.
Source Agencies: | 304 Comptroller of Public Accounts, 701 Central Education Agency
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LBB Staff: | JOB, JSp, JGM
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