TO: | Honorable David Dewhurst, Lieutenant Governor, Senate Honorable Joe Straus, Speaker of the House, House of Representatives |
FROM: | John S O'Brien, Director, Legislative Budget Board |
IN RE: | SB6 by Shapiro (Relating to the foundation curriculum, the establishment of the instructional materials allotment, and the adoption, review, and purchase of instructional materials and technological equipment for public schools; providing penalties.), Conference Committee Report |
Fiscal Year | Probable Net Positive/(Negative) Impact to General Revenue Related Funds |
---|---|
2012 | $381,169,000 |
2013 | ($33,239,180) |
2014 | $244,154,627 |
2015 | $477,138,156 |
2016 | $34,318,188 |
Fiscal Year | Probable Savings/(Cost) from State Textbook Fund 3 |
Probable Savings/(Cost) from Foundation School Fund 193 |
Change in Number of State Employees from FY 2011 |
---|---|---|---|
2012 | ($282,650) | $381,451,650 | 1.8 |
2013 | ($49,730) | ($33,189,450) | 0.5 |
2014 | ($49,730) | $244,204,357 | 0.5 |
2015 | ($49,730) | $477,187,886 | 0.5 |
2016 | ($49,730) | $34,367,918 | 0.5 |
The bill would direct that in the 2012-13 biennium, 40 percent of the annual distribution from the Permanent School Fund (PSF) to the Available School Fund (ASF) be deposited into the Instructional Materials Fund created by the bill to fund school districts' Instructional Materials Allotment. In each subsequent biennium, that amount would increase to 50 percent of annual distribution.
Under current law, the Legislature appropriates a portion of the ASF revenues available to fund instructional materials and the technology allotment, and the remainder is used as a method of financing the Foundation School Program (FSP). To the extent that more or less ASF is used for instructional materials, more or less funding from Fund 193, Foundation School Fund (General Revenue) is required to fund the state's obligations under the FSP.
The distribution rate from the PSF to the ASF is 4.2 percent of the 16-quarter trailing average value of the fund for fiscal years 2012 and 2013. For purposes of this estimate, it is assumed that the distribution rate is 3.5 percent in each subsequent fiscal year. An annual rate of return on investment of 8.0 percent is also assumed. These assumptions yield a distribution of $943.2 million annually in fiscal years 2012 and 2013, $901.3 million annually in fiscal years 2014 and 2015, and $973.4 million in fiscal year 2016.
For purposes of determining current law instructional materials costs, instructional materials under Proclamation 2011 (English Language Arts and Reading, part 2) are estimated to cost $430.0 million and are assumed to enter classrooms in fiscal year 2012. For purposes of this estimate, it is assumed that instructional materials under Proclamation 2012 (Science), which were scheduled to be purchased in fiscal year 2013, but were postponed by the State Board of Education, would be purchased in fiscal year 2014 at a cost of $343.5 million. It is assumed that Proclamation 2013 (Social Studies) materials would be purchased in fiscal year 2015 at a cost of $571.9 million, and that Proclamation 2014 (Career and Technical Education and Technology Applications) materials would be purchased in fiscal year 2014 at a cost of $155.4 million.
Based on the statutory formula of $30 per student in average daily attendance (ADA), Technology Allotment costs under current law are estimated at $138.6 million in fiscal year 2012, increasing to $148.7 million by fiscal year 2016.
Based on these assumptions, the total cost of instructional materials, including continuing contracts, and the technology allotment under current law is estimated at $758.7 million in fiscal year 2012, $344.1 million in fiscal year 2013, $694.8 million in fiscal year 2014, $927.8 million in fiscal year 2015, and $521.0 million in fiscal year 2016. Deducting these estimated costs from the total estimated distribution from the PSF to the ASF yields the amount that would serve as a method of financing the Foundation School Program in each year under current law, estimated at $184.5 million in fiscal year 2012, $599.1 million in fiscal year 2013, $206.4 million in fiscal year 2014, ($26.6 million) in fiscal year 2015, and $452.3 million in fiscal year 2016. In the case of fiscal year 2015, when the estimated cost of instructional materials exceeds the estimated distribution from the PSF to the ASF, other revenues that are deposited to the ASF make up the difference. These funds would otherwise serve as a method of financing the FSP.
Under the provisions of the bill, the amount of ASF used for instructional materials would be limited to 40 percent of the PSF distribution to the ASF in fiscal years 2012 and 2013 and 50 percent of the distribution in subsequent fiscal years. Based on the methodology described above, it is estimated that the amount of ASF available as a method of financing the FSP would change as follows: increase by $381.5 million in fiscal year 2012, decrease by $33.2 million in fiscal year 2013, increase by $244.2 million in fiscal year 2014, increase by $477.2 million in fiscal year 2015, and increase by $34.4 million in fiscal year 2016. Increases in ASF available for financing the FSP yield savings to Fund 193 in like amounts, and decreases in ASF available for financing the FSP yield cost to Fund 193 in like amounts.
Note that the bill provides that the amount transferred from the PSF to fund the Instructional Materials Allotment shall equal amounts associated with the formula described above or a different amount by appropriation. In House Bill 1, the Eighty-second Legislature appropriated $608.1 million for the 2012-13 biennium for the purpose of funding instructional materials and included Texas Education Agency Rider 63, Contingency for SB 6, which directs that the appropriation be reallocated for the purpose of funding the instructional materials allotment contingent on enactment of SB 6 or similar legislation. In any biennium, to the extent that less funding is provided relative to costs identified above, the savings or costs attributable to the provisions of this bill would vary.
In addition to savings and costs associated with the FSP, the Texas Education Agency estimates that 1.75 contract FTEs in fiscal year 2012 and 0.5 contract FTEs in each subsequent fiscal year would be required to implement changes to the Educational Materials Online (EMAT) system at an estimated cost of $282,650 in fiscal year 2012 and $49,730 in each subsequent fiscal year.
Source Agencies: |
LBB Staff: | JOB, JGM, JSc, JSp, LXH
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