TO: | Honorable Harvey Hilderbran, Chair, House Committee on Ways & Means |
FROM: | John S O'Brien, Director, Legislative Budget Board |
IN RE: | HB1115 by Paxton (Relating to a franchise or insurance premium tax credit for contributions made to certain nonprofit educational assistance organizations.), As Introduced |
Fiscal Year | Probable Net Positive/(Negative) Impact to General Revenue Related Funds |
---|---|
2012 | $0 |
2013 | $6,500,000 |
2014 | $6,500,000 |
2015 | $6,500,000 |
2016 | $6,500,000 |
Fiscal Year | Probable Revenue (Loss) from General Revenue Fund 1 |
Probable Revenue (Loss) from Foundation School Fund 193 |
Probable Revenue (Loss) from Property Tax Relief Fund 304 |
Probable Savings/(Cost) from Foundation School Fund - Cost for Loss of PTRF 193 |
---|---|---|---|---|
2012 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
2013 | ($12,000,000) | ($4,000,000) | ($65,000,000) | ($65,000,000) |
2014 | ($12,000,000) | ($4,000,000) | ($65,000,000) | ($65,000,000) |
2015 | ($12,000,000) | ($4,000,000) | ($65,000,000) | ($65,000,000) |
2016 | ($12,000,000) | ($4,000,000) | ($65,000,000) | ($65,000,000) |
Fiscal Year | Probable Savings/(Cost) from Foundation School Fund - Potential Savings for reduced ADA 193 |
---|---|
2012 | $0 |
2013 | $87,500,000 |
2014 | $87,500,000 |
2015 | $87,500,000 |
2016 | $87,500,000 |
Under the bill's provisions there would be no fiscal impact in 2012 because eligible contributions made on or after January 1, 2012 would be taken on a report due in fiscal 2013. The maximum amount of credit that could be taken in 2013 would be $100 million under the franchise tax and $25 million under the insurance premium taxes. The amount of credit taken in 2013 and later would depend on certification of one or more nonprofit educational assistance organizations by the Comptroller and the effectiveness of the organizations in soliciting contributions from taxable entities.
The estimated fiscal impact assumes that one or more nonprofit educational assistance organizations would be certified by the Comptroller in fiscal 2012. It also assumes that the certified organizations would receive donations from franchise and insurance premium taxpayers based on tax savings available and on the tax benefit of shifting charitable contributions to a certified nonprofit educational assistance organization.
The following analysis is to calculate potential savings to the state in the Foundation School Program (FSP) due to lower public school enrollment, as currently enrolled students could receive scholarships to attend private school. Because credits, estimated by the Comptroller at $81 million per year, may not exceed 50 percent of contributions, it is assumed that the total amount of contributions to certified nonprofit educational assistance organizations would be twice that amount, or $162 million per year. Eligible recipient educational organizations are required by the bill to spend 90 percent of contributions for scholarships to eligible students, which would be $145.8 million per year under the assumptions of this fiscal note.
At a scholarship amount of 75 percent of statewide average FSP funding per student in average daily attendance, this would yield approximately 25,100 scholarships. Because not only public school students would be eligible to receive the scholarships, for the purposes of this fiscal note it is assumed that 50 percent of scholarship recipients, or 12,550 students, would come from public schools. The projected savings to the FSP resulting from these students leaving public school is estimated to be $87.5 million per year. The actual savings may be more or less depending upon the actual number of scholarships available, and the number that go to students currently enrolled in public schools.
Source Agencies: | 304 Comptroller of Public Accounts
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LBB Staff: | JOB, KK, SD, JGM
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