TO: | Honorable Steve Ogden, Chair, Senate Committee on Finance |
FROM: | John S O'Brien, Director, Legislative Budget Board |
IN RE: | SB1847 by Lucio (Relating to a franchise or insurance premium tax credit for contributions made to certain educational assistance organizations.), As Introduced |
Fiscal Year | Probable Net Positive/(Negative) Impact to General Revenue Related Funds |
---|---|
2012 | $0 |
2013 | ($4,550,000) |
2014 | ($7,063,000) |
2015 | ($9,746,000) |
2016 | ($12,508,000) |
Fiscal Year | Probable Revenue (Loss) from General Revenue Fund 1 |
Probable Revenue (Loss) from Foundation School Fund 193 |
Probable Revenue (Loss) from Property Tax Relief Fund 304 |
Probable (Cost) from Foundation School Fund - Cost for Loss of PTRF 193 |
---|---|---|---|---|
2012 | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
2013 | ($11,486,000) | ($3,829,000) | ($52,935,000) | ($52,935,000) |
2014 | ($12,061,000) | ($4,020,000) | ($55,582,000) | ($55,582,000) |
2015 | ($12,664,000) | ($4,221,000) | ($58,361,000) | ($58,361,000) |
2016 | ($13,297,000) | ($4,432,000) | ($61,279,000) | ($61,279,000) |
Fiscal Year | Probable Savings from Foundation School Fund - Potential Savings from reduced ADA 193 |
---|---|
2012 | $0 |
2013 | $63,700,000 |
2014 | $64,600,000 |
2015 | $65,500,000 |
2016 | $66,500,000 |
Under the bill's provisions there would be no fiscal impact in 2012 because eligible contributions made on or after January 1, 2012 would be taken on a report due in fiscal 2013. The maximum amount of credit that could be taken in 2013 would be $68.25 million under both the franchise tax and the insurance premium taxes. The limit on the amount of credit available in 2014 and beyond would increase by five percent per year. The fiscal impact of the bill would depend on certification of one or more nonprofit educational assistance organizations by the Comptroller and the effectiveness of the organizations in soliciting contributions from taxable entities.
The estimated fiscal impact assumes that one or more nonprofit educational assistance organizations would be certified by the Comptroller in fiscal 2012. It also assumes that the certified organizations would receive donations from franchise and insurance premium taxpayers based on tax savings available and on the tax benefit of shifting charitable contributions to a certified nonprofit educational assistance organization.
The following analysis is to calculate potential savings to the state in the Foundation School Program (FSP) due to lower public school enrollment, as currently enrolled students could receive scholarships to attend private school. Because credits, estimated by the Comptroller at $68.25 million if fiscal year 2013, may not exceed 50 percent of contributions, it is assumed that the total amount of contributions to certified nonprofit educational assistance organizations would be twice that amount, or $136.5 million in fiscal year 2013. Eligible recipient educational organizations are required by the bill to spend 90 percent of contributions for scholarships to eligible students, which would be $122.9 million per year under the assumptions of this fiscal note.
At a scholarship amount of $5,692.50 for a student in kindergarten through grade 8 and $7,762.50 for a student in grade 9 through 12 starting in fiscal year 2013, this would yield approximately 18,267 scholarships in that year. Because not only public school students would be eligible to receive the scholarships, for the purposes of this fiscal note it is assumed that 50 percent of scholarship recipients, or 9,133 students, would come from public schools. The projected savings to the FSP resulting from these students leaving public school is estimated to be $63.7 million in fiscal year 2013. The actual savings may be more or less depending upon the actual number of scholarships available, and the number that go to students currently enrolled in public schools.
Source Agencies: | 304 Comptroller of Public Accounts
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LBB Staff: | JOB, KK, SD, JGM
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