TO: | Honorable Harvey Hilderbran, Chair, House Committee on Ways & Means |
FROM: | Ursula Parks, Director, Legislative Budget Board |
IN RE: | HB1943 by Bohac (Relating to the limitation on increases in the appraised value of a residence homestead for ad valorem taxation.), As Introduced |
Fiscal Year | Probable Net Positive/(Negative) Impact to General Revenue Related Funds |
---|---|
2014 | $0 |
2015 | ($23,497,000) |
2016 | ($77,549,000) |
2017 | ($135,479,000) |
2018 | ($201,221,000) |
Fiscal Year | Probable Savings/(Cost) from Foundation School Fund 193 |
Probable Revenue Gain/(Loss) from School Districts |
Probable Revenue Gain/(Loss) from Counties |
Probable Revenue Gain/(Loss) from Cities |
---|---|---|---|---|
2014 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
2015 | ($23,497,000) | ($37,331,000) | ($18,545,000) | ($20,548,000) |
2016 | ($77,549,000) | ($49,973,000) | ($38,740,000) | ($42,998,000) |
2017 | ($135,479,000) | ($62,751,000) | ($60,009,000) | ($66,718,000) |
2018 | ($201,221,000) | ($84,534,000) | ($86,201,000) | ($96,001,000) |
Fiscal Year | Probable Revenue Gain/(Loss) from Other Special Districts |
---|---|
2014 | $0 |
2015 | ($13,555,000) |
2016 | ($28,294,000) |
2017 | ($43,792,000) |
2018 | ($62,855,000) |
Contingent on the passage of a constitutional amendment, the bill would require appraisal districts to reduce the limit on the growth in the appraised value of a homestead from 10 percent to 5 percent per year creating a fiscal impact on the state and units of local government. The analysis was based on appraisal roll information reported electronically by appraisal districts. The year to year percent change in value for a large random sample of homesteads that were listed on the appraisal roll in each of the two most recent years was calculated and the results were sorted by percent change. The value loss resulting from the proposed limitation was calculated for homesteads that increased in value more than five percent. Value lost to the existing 10 percent value limitation on homestead property was excluded. The results were extrapolated to all Texas homesteads.
Value losses would occur in proportion to future real property growth rates. Mathematical modeling supported by historical data from the existing 10 percent cap shows that, when property value growth rates are relatively stable, value losses increase substantially in the second year after the imposition of a value growth cap and then increase at a decreasing rate. The value loss was adjusted in the second and succeeding years of the analysis to reflect this growth pattern.
Projected tax rates were applied to estimate the levy loss to special districts, cities and counties, and to estimate the initial school district loss. Because of the operation of the hold harmless provisions of the Education Code, about 60 percent of the school district cost related to the compressed rate is transferred to the state in the first year the bill takes effect and 100 percent in year two and later years. Because lagged year property values are used in the enrichment formula, school districts lose enrichment funding (state savings) in the first year of a taxable property value reduction. In the second and successive years the enrichment cost and a portion of the school district debt (facilities) cost are transferred to the state through the relevant funding formulas. All costs were estimated over the five year projection period.
Source Agencies: | 304 Comptroller of Public Accounts
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LBB Staff: | UP, KK, SD, SJS
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