TO: | Honorable Lois W. Kolkhorst, Chair, House Committee on Public Health |
FROM: | Ursula Parks, Director, Legislative Budget Board |
IN RE: | HB3426 by Lavender (Relating to reimbursement through the Medicaid program of nonemergency services provided through hospital emergency rooms.), As Introduced |
Fiscal Year | Probable Net Positive/(Negative) Impact to General Revenue Related Funds |
---|---|
2014 | $28,403,467 |
2015 | $61,333,217 |
2016 | $61,018,098 |
2017 | $61,018,098 |
2018 | $61,018,098 |
Fiscal Year | Probable Savings from GR Match For Medicaid 758 |
Probable Savings from Federal Funds 555 |
Probable Revenue (Loss) from General Revenue Fund 1 |
Probable Revenue (Loss) from Foundation School Fund 193 |
---|---|---|---|---|
2014 | $28,403,467 | $40,191,196 | $0 | $0 |
2015 | $62,755,728 | $87,377,593 | ($1,066,883) | ($355,628) |
2016 | $62,815,782 | $87,317,540 | ($1,348,263) | ($449,421) |
2017 | $62,815,782 | $87,317,540 | ($1,348,263) | ($449,421) |
2018 | $62,815,782 | $87,317,540 | ($1,348,263) | ($449,421) |
According to the Health and Human Services Commission (HHSC), there would be one-time costs for systems modifications ($435,000 in All Funds) and revisions to provider materials ($45,300 in All Funds); these costs are assumed in fiscal year 2014. These activities are assumed to require six months, with implementation of the reimbursement prohibition in March 2014.
HHSC estimates an average cost per non-emergent ER visit of $142.42 ($53.22 for physician services and the remaining $89.20 for the hospital) in fiscal year 2014. These amounts are estimated to grow to $54.31 for physician services and $91.03 for hospital services in fiscal year 2015. HHSC assumes that under the provisions of the bill the physician payment would still occur as reimbursement for screening required by EMTALA, but that no fee to the facility would be paid. According to HHSC, there were 1,439,208 non-emergent ER visits reimbursed by Medicaid in fiscal year 2011. The number of visits is assumed to grow at the same rate as Medicaid enrollment through fiscal year 2015. The estimated number of non-emergent ER visits is 1,548,766 in fiscal year 2014 and 1,649,273 in fiscal year 2015; it is assumed that the reimbursement prohibition will apply to only one-half (774,383) of the visits in fiscal year 2014 due to March 2014 implementation. With a savings of $89.20 assumed for each visit in fiscal year 2014, estimated All Funds savings would be $69,074,964. With a savings of $91.03 assumed for each visit in fiscal year 2015 and beyond, estimated All Funds savings would be $150,133,321. This analysis does not project continued caseload or average cost growth in fiscal year 2016 and beyond nor does it assume a deterrent effect from the prohibition on reimbursement. Savings could be higher if implementation was completed prior to March 2014.
Based on the historical (through fiscal year 2011) percentage of expenditures for non-emergent ER visits attributable to Medicaid recipients enrolled in managed care and projected growth in managed care enrollment, it is assumed that approximately 68 percent of savings would be attributed to managed care, resulting in reductions to premium payments and a loss of insurance premium tax revenue (estimated as 1.75 percent of estimated reductions to managed care premium payments). The loss of revenue is adjusted for payment in March for each prior calendar year (an estimated one-third of estimated revenue for each fiscal year is assumed to be collected in that fiscal year with the remainder collected the following fiscal year). The loss of revenue is further adjusted for March 2014 implementation. Pursuant to Section 227.001(b), Insurance Code, 25 percent of the revenue loss is attributed to the Foundation School Fund. The total loss of premium tax revenue associated with the provisions of the bill is estimated to be $1.4 million in fiscal year 2015 and $1.8 million in fiscal year 2016 and beyond.
Source Agencies: | 529 Health and Human Services Commission
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LBB Staff: | UP, CL, LR, NB
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